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Prediction accuracy
AI reads explicit and implied calls from X posts; a rules-based engine checks each call's price at several horizons and ranks callers by what following their calls returned, alongside hit rate, risk, drawdown and consistency. This measures calls, not executed trades. How scoring works
Call of the week
+3.1%“The blue wave will lead to more money printing. The accelerated money printing will lead to higher prices in bitcoin, gold, and productive land. Don't fight the money printer.”
Worst aged tweet
-4.7%“Sentiment is so negative Time to buy some $ETH”
Upset of the week
@CryptoJelleNL has 18× fewer followers than @AshCrypto, and out-calls them.
See the head-to-head →102 of 164 tracked callers have calls in this view; 74 are ranked. Ranked by ROI, then hit rate. Calls resolved 12 Aug 2026 – 10 Nov 2026 · engine run #433, 10 Nov 2026, 18:13 UTC. Under 5 scored calls is low sample and not ranked.
Ranking follows ROI: the average return per call, which is what following every call with an equal stake returned. Hit rate only breaks ties. A 55% caller whose wins are big outranks a 65% caller whose wins are tiny. Full methodology
| Rank | Trend | Account | ROI How it’s ranked | Hit rate | Mean alpha | Calls |
|---|
Following every call: average return per call
Following every call: average return per call
| C / I |
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| Backers |
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Best call
+7.0%“$ETH update: Feels good man Hardest part done, now comes the easier part The easier part being sitting on my flippers waiting for price to go up more https://t.co/PHotkNdIq2”
Worst call
-0.9%“$ETH No serious resistance left IMO I'm just gonna ignore everything and HODL https://t.co/LjyiMe8sCE https://t.co/8kve0yMhys”
Best call
+3.7%Best call
+2.2%Best call
+0.8%Best call
+3.2%Best call
+3.9%Best call
+0.8%Best call
+2.6%Best call
+1.2%Best call
+4.8%Best call
+1.5%Best call
+1.0%Best call
+2.9%Best call
+2.7%Best call
+1.0%Best call
+1.6%Best call
+1.2%Best call
+0.9%Best call
+1.0%Best call
+1.5%Best call
+1.1%Best call
+0.3%Best call
+1.8%Low sample · under 5 scored calls
Best call
+0.0%Best call
+0.3%Best call
+0.5%Best call
+0.7%Best call
+0.0%Best call
+1.3%Best call
+0.5%Worst call
-1.5%Best call
+0.4%Best call
+1.0%Best call
+0.3%Best call
+0.6%Best call
+2.1%Best call
+0.3%Best call
+0.3%Worst call
-0.2%Worst call
-0.1%Best call
+1.0%Best call
+0.1%Best call
+0.5%Best call
+0.6%Best call
+0.1%Best call
+0.4%Best call
+0.2%Worst call
-0.1%Worst call
-0.0%Worst call
-0.2%Best call
+0.6%Most wrong bullish calls, under 50% right
Ranked callers
74 / 102
28 low sample
Cohort hit rate
50.7%
2230 directional calls
Cohort mean alpha
+0.1%
Return minus the same bet on BTC
Directional resolution
100%
3 neutral excluded
Pending / unresolved
3 / 0
Not yet matured / missing price
Window = which calls count (by when they resolved); horizon = how long after each call the price is checked. Repeated calls on the same asset and direction within 24 hours count once. Missing prices stay unresolved and are never estimated. “Back” records interest only (sign in with X); no money changes hands and it never affects scores.
Best call
+2.4%“@Hawk_Finance Yeah, 108k is the upper target I have in my pinned post, since February. Basically the price has been chopping around between 60k-70k since then, which I consider accumulation zone. Let's see how it develops over the next few weeks ;) https://t.co/BwEdgRtQJ8”
Worst call
-0.2%“$ETH update Retracement played out. It started at the same resistance level, and stopped at the same support level as in 2025. Fractal things. Bullish continuation expected, just like the rest of the market.”
Worst call
-0.6%“#Bitcoin daily says we're bullish! Just let the momentum have a retest and we send it higher https://t.co/yRlbPiVIdX”
Best call
+1.6%“solana:C8fU5GdfAt5mnw2RK7HE6XJGFNxHpaskZMkXxdm88888 starting to heat-up, moving nicely towards $0.30 I have a feeling it's not going to stop any time soon https://t.co/9rcOV4SVwc”
Best call
+3.1%“$ETH 5+ year ascending triangle remains intact. Years of compression, multiple tests of the lower boundary, and the structure is still holding. The longer the base, the more meaningful the eventual resolution. Patience. https://t.co/u5xJOxx8dP”
Worst call
-0.2%“I actually think $BTC vs Gold looks bullish here. Both MACD and RSI are showing bullish divergences on the monthly tf. Price is also printing higher lows against roughly equal highs, suggesting a potential ascending triangle in the making. Of course, it still needs confirmation, but I wouldn't bet on Gold continuing to outperform BTC from here.”
Best call
+1.0%“In the last 24 hours: * The SEC released Regulation Crypto Assets * The Treasury launched yield curve control * The White House prepared for a meeting with top crypto execs to discuss tokenization and the Clarity Act. Hard not to be extremely bullish both BTC and crypto right now ow.”
Worst call
-0.1%“When the government artificially suppresses long-term interest rates, it erodes the value of savings. Investors need to buy hard assets to escape this. Bitcoin is the fastest horse in the race. https://t.co/VaowzEfo81”
Best call
+1.7%“@tulipking @botblastcap it’s fun to agree with tulip king when you have the same coins, really fun. sol to $2”
Worst call
-0.5%“@ByzGeneral bitcoin should go up now”
Best call
“solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 also has pretty clear skies here, potentially setting up for a move to 128-140 area for the next range, possibly ending this current accumulation range its also been in the past month https://t.co/ls2Zz9oh2i”
Worst call
-0.4%“My target for solana:98sMhvDwXj1RQi5c5Mndm3vPe9cBqPrbLaufMXFNMh5g is $238,855. Which is the distance from the earth to the moon. Bc thats where we should be going if this is what I hope it is. hl coded? https://t.co/rwYXWuHTh5”
Best call
+3.1%“The blue wave will lead to more money printing. The accelerated money printing will lead to higher prices in bitcoin, gold, and productive land. Don't fight the money printer.”
Worst call
-1.2%“Trump announced yesterday that he is going to give out $5,000 stimulus checks. The more money he hands out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go.”
“$SOL update Bounced from a bit above the green box. Broke out of the bull flag. Any dencent correction is a buy imo. https://t.co/aIb9LS1Dgq”
Worst call
-0.5%“Alts update I called the tops and warned for an upcoming correction. TOTAL2, ETHUSD, BNB, SOL All following the plan from a month ago. 🎯 https://t.co/s0cruUP0QJ https://t.co/wBMtjZhcgK”
“bitcoin:native update Longs looking good. 76.2K tagged exactly as discussed below and traded in the discord. Personally filled half of my bids, looking for a partial TP at 78.3K~ if market offers. https://t.co/j0u03OQny9 https://t.co/qYw3QTGxjh”
Worst call
-0.4%“$BTC The previous major move down originated from 89K~. I'd likely look for a short from around there if market offers. First test, best test trade. https://t.co/HScB5dP7mN”
“@zectrillionaire BREAKING : Shocking, Big Z or Zectrillionaire offended somebody posts something perceived ZEC negative.”
Worst call
-0.2%“Really solid Bitcoin push here to break the intermediate trend and resume the secular bull trend. As is common in any new move, a nasty shakeout is likely, but I’d suspect it doesn’t come until later and from higher. https://t.co/XD3760P6R1”
“$ETH trying to get the flag ready again https://t.co/FRCef28ZJo”
Worst call
-0.6%“bitcoin:native Holding on... a break could get us down to 74k, a 200 day test at 72k and hold would be amazing tho, not sure we get it https://t.co/kdwqLvTVZG”
Best call
“Both $SOL and $ETH heading for very strong weekly closes. $ETH breaks out of a 9-year downtrend against bitcoin:native. $SOL breaks out of an 8-month range. https://t.co/ifKKepSt8H”
Worst call
-0.1%“HERE IS WHY I THINK THE BEAR MARKET COULD BE OVER. In March 2023, crypto had been through a 500 day bear market. Specifically for the 5 months between the FTX collapse and March investors hated crypto and the sideways price combined with the FTX fraud label made crypto uninvestable for most. Then , without warning SVB bank collapsed on 10 March 2023. The FED and treasury panicked and actually did very little. They made a few tweaks and they told the market they would backstop and bank collapses. That signalling was enough to start the bull market and Bitcoin did a 5x from there - see the chart below. Scott Bessent is doing the same thing now. A few small tweaks to the buybacks of long dated treasuries but a lot of talk and a strong message to the market that the US treasury is ready to do anything. This is really all the market needs to repeat the playbook. I am max long Bitcoin , crypto, gold and silver.”
Best call
+2.5%“BITCOIN PUMPS!!! "Bart believers" are in disbelief FOUR YEAR CYCLISTS FULLY SIDELINED!!!! @bullmania members printing and printing GUYS BULL MARKET IS HERE either you join it or remain sidelined pleb IVAN HAS BEEN CLEAR MARKET HAS PROVEN US RIGHT https://t.co/UQOqseXP5g”
Worst call
-2.4%“BITCOIN GOING VERY HIGH!!!! all dips are for buying now (since 200w ma touch) bears are all cooked scott bessent deploying 1 trillion into bond markets solana to $1000 eth to $10000 all shitters max max max valhalla TIME TO BE BOLD AND BULLISH https://t.co/SXpA5Pt1u2”
“$ETH There is our volatility and another attempt at a break above $1950+. Needs to hold here and I will be targeting $2100 next. https://t.co/w3GGm7j9EN”
Worst call
-0.5%“$ETH has been chopping around vs $BTC for the past few weeks. No real action here besides some intra day volatility here and there. But the trend has been up since June. As long as BTC remains its bullish market structure, I do believe ETH will at least keep up if not outperform. Just like it has been doing. If the market were to go risk off for whatever reason, the Daily 200MA/EMA would be a good level to watch on the ETH/BTC pair.”
“Respectfully, I would not wait for lower $BTC prices. If you were waiting for 40k at 60k, all of the data should force you to reconsider.”
Worst call
-0.4%“Bitcoin spot ETF inflows hit $731M, the largest single inflow day since January "Usually when we're talking about what's signal and what's noise we don't talk too deeply about the daily ETF inflows and outflows because it generally gets washed away in the news cycle, but when you have the largest day here in September, basically of the entire year since January, it's worth noting almost a billion dollars in inflows into the Bitcoin spot ETFs." "IBIT, of course, from BlackRock had 454 million of those, but six other funds also had inflows." "August had approximately $3.5 billion in inflows, strongest month since September 2025, and that was right before the October peak of the entire market. So this is a real trend that started in August when Bitcoin started to move up towards the end of the month." "It was the bond market that sparked this, the fact that Treasury announced that they were going to double their buybacks, that was the catalyst. But now we're weeks removed from that happening and prices are still high and inflows are still increasing, which means that there's actually an institutional, and retail bid underlying this price move, giving a lot more confidence that this is strong and that it could potentially be a lasting move."”
Best call
+1.9%“$ETH - Move the squiggles to the left a bit and it's looking pretty spot on. Fakeout above, fakeout below, run it back. Same playbook as last time. https://t.co/uHC4JE4Hft https://t.co/i2ZkZTaA7z”
Worst call
-0.6%“$ETH - Squiggles still say to prepare for the lower fakeout after saying to not fall for the upper one. https://t.co/XGcrzGBFTL”
“Bitcoin below $80,000 is bearish. Bulls need to reclaim this level and close the week above it. https://t.co/BT4wixjT31”
Worst call
-1.0%“$SOL spot demand is going down. This is the time for buyers to step in and push Solana above $80. https://t.co/x0byPYUqev”
Best call
+1.1%“Possibility of a reverse h&s in the shorter-term now looking invalidated with the break through resistance. A similar move would see #btc back to 6 figures. https://t.co/rAflPPwsJo”
Worst call
-0.2%“Technically superb #btc price action. Six figure prices back on the horizon...😎 https://t.co/2f0gMeK5if”
Best call
“Bitcoin is massively undervalued.”
Worst call
-0.9%“I’m still insanely bullish on Bitcoin.”
Best call
+3.9%“The markets are waking up massively and it's just a first start. #Bitcoin has moved first. $ETH started to show a lot of strength, and $SOL is passing up with that. More #Altcoins will start to follow through as confidence comes in and liquidity rotates from Bitcoin towards assets that deserve attention. Don't be surprised if we'll see breakouts of 20-30% on a single day on altcoins.”
Worst call
-1.1%“The moment that everybody becomes so feared about the markets, that's where you execute your longs on #Bitcoin and #Ethereum. That's close.”
“BTC could easily flush a couple thousand dollars down, bringing ETH and all the other shitcoins along with it. That would make for some salivating dip buys heading into Q4. https://t.co/i3otnVwtw3”
Worst call
-0.6%“77777 on a binance hack Your grand children will ask you why you didn't buy BTC The mother of all dips.”
Best call
“One of the best stock traders of our generation buying $TTWO stock because of the leaked footage of GTA6 Buying more solana:4kjruqGHDsSqkMdFfCjV7Vb62HPFhtXyWc2t6JpQzDnz here seems like a no brainer. Haven’t seen a play that can attract and bring normies into crypto like GTA 4kjruqGHDsSqkMdFfCjV7Vb62HPFhtXyWc2t6JpQzDnz”
Worst call
-1.1%“One of the best charts in crypto on the verge of breaking out massively solana:BCdwQBAn8dYB5YjTsoB6TdHAWokxv28k2oZUodERpump https://t.co/60i4sVXWRp”
Best call
+0.8%“Bitcoin to Nasdaq correlation sharply dropped to the lowest level since 2018: It's now negative as Nasdaq is going down while BTC is pumping. Boomers love this stuff: They love to make portfolios with uncorrelated assets, thus BTC now looks sexier than ever, especially as 1) QQQ is concentrated AI trade and 2) it's dumping. It strengthens BTC's digital gold narrative, proves it's a more mature asset, and hopefully manages to trade higher if/when AI trade deflates further. TL;DR - bullish!”
Worst call
-0.5%“BTC you had one job! The market has spoken and BTC isn't getting a bid https://t.co/2ujQNr2oWn”
Best call
+1.1%“Yesterday Google dropped 10%+ after hours, today it is Intel. Remember in Q4 of midterm years, it is usually a correction in equities that drags Bitcoin back down https://t.co/LYU0yZlx4M”
Worst call
-0.6%“What is crazy is if Bitcoin accepts below the range, it would likely completely unwind in 2-3 weeks, and then the cycle as measured from low-to-low would be nearly identical to the last 2 cycles. https://t.co/LgDni3CYJ1 https://t.co/sGgj4h2c2I”
Best call
+2.7%“Imagine waiting for a $40K dip while $BTC just consolidated over the main support and it's loading the next bullish leg https://t.co/KmK9MxRcCB”
Worst call
-1.8%“$ETH keeps consolidating amazingly over the main $2,350 range, bullish 💥 https://t.co/A7TgGNII8k”
“$BTC #Bitcoin Classic bullish manipulation (EMA21 test) before a major move 📉 🩸 Don't forget that we're still in a bear market 😉 https://t.co/81qI6jQecj”
Worst call
-1.3%“@cryptomlady too early to go long imo. Eth should go lower”
Best call
+1.1%“L O L The SEC and the CFTC are not playing around when it comes to crypto market structure Bitcoin Pumping ZEC Pumping We are going so much HIGHER! Trade with my link https://t.co/rjYBb3Ws12 https://t.co/Y5nBLB2Mx3 https://t.co/DTOo2nJbpY”
Worst call
-1.0%“Uptober is real $BTC is primed Long your longs https://t.co/Ztewu3JFNI”
“$ETH has now cleared the untapped highs and is approaching our key resistance zone between $2800-$3000. This supply zone is the most logical place to expect a rejection and potentially deeper pullback to target the equal lows below us. If we manage to clear this zone then we will probably leave those equal lows behind.”
Worst call
-0.8%“What's interesting is that both these legs (up and down) are very similar structurally. Both are corrective, leaving inefficiencies along with built up liquidity behind. The inefficiency that preceded our move up has now been filled (and the liquidity taken) and we know we are in our D3 demand zone, so its further confluence for a potential local reversal and move to the other side to take the built up liquidity and inefficiency that we left behind on the way down. This is 1 of 2 HTF "bottom zones" for me on ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52. If this zone doesn't hold then we are eyeing up the triple tap of our larger range a few cents lower, as covered in my last video update. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52”
Best call
+0.8%“#Bitcoin In the last 3 cycles, once BTC touched the center line of the Bollinger Bands on the monthly chart, the bear market low was already in. This time may be no different. https://t.co/VMSsGwYlva”
Worst call
-0.5%“#Bitcoin 👀 Looks increasingly like the bottom is in. https://t.co/SC4RLsavr5”
Best call
+1.1%“@G_MovieMintz Bitcoin is moving up as investors are speculating inflation will also drive money into Bitcoin. I think they are wrong. I don't believe this rally will hold.”
Worst call
-0.5%“@saylor MIchael, STRC is dead. You've kept it on artificial life support with your buybacks. But you're running out of cash. Plus, as Bitcoin crashes, the selling pressure on STRC will intensify. A 12% yield won't be nearly enough to offset the risk.”
Best call
+0.9%“Here's that level on bitcoin:native that we REALLY want to see hold. Former highs covering essentially the whole of 2026. This is about as clear as it gets for bulls. https://t.co/YIJRyBbBMz”
Worst call
-0.3%“The flip for ethereum:native could be huge. We still have to deal with this overhead level, but momentum through $2400 and this is the first time we will have seen this much strength since October 2025. https://t.co/8TMVtGK0Eo”
Best call
“I’m still in the same $BTC continuation long. I added a little here, bringing my average to 75.7K. Same plan, same invalidations. My stops are still set at my previous 3x swing entry from 62.6K. Let the games begin. 🎲 https://t.co/pgAEQSWXd1 https://t.co/gRDvOSaVVX”
Worst call
-1.2%“The bottom impulse candle never gets fully filled. A lot of people are always looking at the "imbalance", the "major weekly FVG", or the low volume transacted around that particular price region. Now, targeting imbalances can work, but during a bull market, the majority of imbalances formed by strong legs higher usually don't get fully filled. In fact, bottoming impulse candles historically tend to remain unfilled. And I think there's a relatively simple explanation for that. We chopped for 2 months, then pumped 27%, and the market is still sitting in disbelief. There isn't necessarily any incentive for the imbalance below to be fully filled. The imbalance formed in the first place because roughly 6B worth of shorts were liquidated, and that's only the visible liquidations we can actually see publicly. So, based on this context, the imbalance below doesn't need to be fully filled, and there's a good chance it won't be. The most we saw in 2022 was a partial fill, and even then, that wick was very quickly bought up. If we saw something similar this time around, it would equate to $BTC testing the low 70Ks. But again, that's not something I would guarantee either. The purpose of this post is simply to give you some insight into the characteristics of how bottoms are formed, and why these major imbalances can remain unfilled as price continues higher after months of chop. Technically speaking, I don't believe BTC will ever revisit my 62.6K 2x long entry again. I don't even expect it to revisit my 65.8K spot notional average that I shared publicly. In my view, the absolute worst case retest would be somewhere just shy of $0K, potentially the high 69Ks in the event of some form of capitulation. Outside of that, I don't expect anything significantly deeper. And even that could be a stretch. We could quite easily hold the 73K-75K region before eventually putting in another leg higher towards 85K. The main point is simple, an imbalance existing below price does not mean the market is obligated to fill it.”
Best call
“$SOL From a swing trading or spot perspective... You just dont fade the daily bands into a previous range high particularly when: 1. The trajectory of the daily bands continues to trend lower with no slow down in momentum - not even remotely basing out... 2. It's rolled over the weekly's and that becomes resistance... It's not difficult ... Why fight the trend...”
Worst call
-0.4%“The bands often take many months to turn around esp the higher time frame... Again look at the current trajectory of the bands...”
“Needs to go now, key pivot here, get above former 4h high and we squeeze imo #btc https://t.co/YTSCkkSHLA”
Worst call
-0.9%“#btc One hell of a monthly close. Target is $100k+ https://t.co/KlG23P1EpO”
“@kernow_bull i mean its a weekly chart so break 82 doesnt mean 150k the day after but such high-timeframe breaks often result in significant, long-lasting trends much like when btc broke above 25k in 2023 or above 10.5k in 2020”
Worst call
-1.3%“Still battling the main weekly resistance, but LTF-wise, $BTC doesn't look like it wants to go down anytime soon 👀 Matter of time until new highs. https://t.co/vYiZJsnxF0”
“$ETH - Update Looking for another leg down to clean those lows. Will wait for my scalp long upon holding. https://t.co/FdOPMiAmD9”
Worst call
-1.6%“$ETH - Update Nailed it again. Time to long soon. https://t.co/FAdy3tmrw3 https://t.co/v24otUpeSQ”
Best call
+1.2%“$BTC limit orders filled. Target $91k. https://t.co/3XtmWPYEoJ https://t.co/jjIt6V8KwC”
“I started with the long trigger cause I already mapped them out last week - it doesn't mean I think it's more likely. Market bias is bearish so, in principle, downside continuation should put more pressure this week. For shorts, with BTC.D rising, I'd focus on altcoins and ETH. https://t.co/3tzi21BIuA”
Worst call
-0.6%“In Ethereum, in my opinion, it's very clear that it needs some more downside because the two main liquidity areas are to the downside. There must be a lot of liquidity right below those local lows. I think it's probably too much liquidity for MMs to ignore - so they'll take it. https://t.co/W3pM90PCz4”
Best call
+0.4%“✅Bitcoin in profit > 70% (color overlay in this chat) ✅BTC > 200 week moving average (black line) ✅RSI > 50 (trend is up) ✅QE restarted Feels like the bear is dead and bulls are in charge🚀 https://t.co/kU0nUJXtdW”
Worst call
-0.1%“Bitcoin closed August at $78,571 - Above 200 week MA $65k - Above 5 month (STH) realized price $72k - All realized prices are increasing again - Bitcoin in profit 72% (up from 50%) - Monthly RSI 51 (up from 41) IMO the bottom is behind us. I expect higher prices from here. https://t.co/h5IcFoBJG6”
Best call
“$BTC closed last week right at the highs, gave v little back and now looks like it wants to push higher yet again nice open interest reset + spot premium nearly flipping green i used to pray for moments like this https://t.co/yx7kfJ29Xi”
Worst call
-0.3%“$SOL: local bottom's in here imo source? the quantsack https://t.co/x130mNH1Ch”
Best call
+1.9%“ETHEREUM SLAYED $2,200. NEXT DRAGON: $4,000. The road to $10,000: $1,500. Slayed. $2,200. Slayed. $4,000. In sight. $5,100. On deck. Two of five. Bulls sharpen the sword. https://t.co/VGJreuiIzS”
Worst call
-1.8%“Retail bought the top because of a "crypto president." Now they're selling $BTC at $74K, angry and broke. I'm buying what they're dumping.”
Best call
“What if BTC is lagging behind Google’s long-term price action? Bitcoin’s catch-up rally could be insane. https://t.co/Oa8E4agOXk”
Worst call
-2.1%“BITCOIN IS BREAKING OUT 🚀 https://t.co/nl7Ml5EDvL”
“ethereum:native All you need is a 3 tap, thanks for playing Short term range for a msb and move into demand for a long- simple does it https://t.co/JlFZiAB9xY”
Worst call
-0.7%“$BTC Price has still to break structure to the upside and or form a solid reversal setup. No doubt we trade back to 90k but I'd assume we form the range first then the second part of the month is bullish - Above 82k is the msb For now just bracket in place https://t.co/apNrBAGDUM”
Best call
+0.5%“@imperial_btc We probably tested the 50-week MA. I'm travelling, so I can't check right now, but I think it's around $77K. A similar test to the one in 2023. Very bullish.”
Worst call
-1.1%“@imperial_btc In my opinion this is probably a new cycle. BTC dropped below the 200w MA, and every time it did that it meant a reset and a new cycle. In that situation it’s hard to imagine BTC growing only those 30% from 126k.”
Best call
+0.6%“Strong reversal in % long-term holder supply in loss From a 45.4% peak to 34.4% today, from this past week's rally. NAIL IN THE COFFIN, BEARS? 🔨🐻🔨🐻🔨 - - - Evidence mounting that we are indeed past the Bitcoin cycle low. https://t.co/QBVHszR2dA”
Worst call
-1.8%“Did you know you can measure Bitcoin the way you'd measure a factory? 🏭 It costs $50.4K in machines and electricity to produce one coin. It sells for $83.3K. So you're paying a 39% markup over production cost. Here's what matters. Across sixteen years, every time that markup was under 35%, Bitcoin was higher twelve months later. Every single time, no exceptions. Above 65% markup? Higher only 37% of the time. Today's 39% is at the cheap end of that range, and 70% of the last five years were pricier than right now. Might make sense to pick some up. NFA”
“I checked the market yesterday and talked what's next. Here's the recap. 1. $30,000 target was wrong and admitted publicly: The evidence changed with weekly close above the 200-day MA, 40% move on a $1.5T+ asset, breadth 3x so the bias changed. Arguing with the market costs you money. Adapting to it makes you money. 2. 2027 is a pre-election year - best of 4 year cycle. Bitcoin's average annual return over 16 years is 128%. Pre-election years have averaged 216%. That's the structural tailwind going into next year. 3. The current dip to $77K is consolidation. RSI reset, momentum normal, SMA200 holding at $70K - my ideal buy. But I'll scale in more at $71-72K. Big boys bid above the level everyone is watching. 4. Cutting winners early was my biggest mistake. Not the losses, the exits. The profit factor was 1.73 but could have been significantly higher. Closing early feels safe. Over time it quietly destroys returns more than bad entries ever will. P.S. CPI coming up in a moment. Expect volatility. Full session: https://t.co/GeiAdTjnHu”
Worst call
-1.8%“13% of crypto coins were above their 200-day MA a week ago. Today it's 32%. That's the number that separates a Bitcoin rally from a real bull market. Here's more from last night's webinar. 1. The 2023 bottom fingerprint just fired again. Persistent price travel above key MAs. Volume spikes. Time above the 200-day. Improving breadth. Same methodology, different cycle. 2. Bias changed because evidence changed. Last week the target was $30K. This week I'm fully bullish. Adjusting to the market is the job. Arguing with it burns accounts. 3. The 200-day MA direction is the only line that matters. Falling = bear. Curling up = bull. It just curled up for the first time in over a year. 4. Expect chop before the real move. Consolidation, resistance, pullbacks to $70K are normal in early weeks. Being bullish means buying the dips. Watch full session below. https://t.co/SJU4XEUJcB”
Best call
+4.3%“$ETH looks ready for the next leg up Send it to $3K+ with haste https://t.co/TtA5CH078n”
Worst call
-1.7%“If you're in NVDA, you still have time to rotate back into BTC and ETH https://t.co/hboEXbIa1q”
Best call
+0.7%“The dollar is in a very similar technical position to October 2021. It has built a base near the bottom of the channel and, in my view, is setting up for another impulsive move toward the upper side. Go back and study what happened to Bitcoin in the months after the dollar started that rally. That’s why I’m not interested in calling a Bitcoin bottom yet. Until $DXY gets much closer to the top of this channel, I think the pressure on risk assets remains.”
Worst call
-1.0%“This is how I see the $BTC cycle. The 2022 bottom was accumulation, followed by an uptrend with multiple re-accumulation phases. What changed at the top is the structure: distribution first, then lower highs and re-distribution. That’s the key difference. As long as this structure holds, I see rallies as opportunities to sell, not the start of a new bull market. My main target remains the $30K area.”
Best call
+0.7%“#SOL tested the resistance at the ascending trendline and was rejected, leading to a correction. https://t.co/bmJ1uKpNO7”
Worst call
-0.6%“#BTC is currently sitting at a key support level. If it fails to hold this zone, we could see a deeper move to the downside. https://t.co/FcPonTXMJC”
“$ETH looks even stronger than $BTC. It had been building up toward a breakout at 2k and accumulated enough momentum to surge all the way to the HVN around 2300. D1 TF And if we push a little harder, we’re not far from a breakout on W1 TF On a more local scale, Ether has reached resistance from above, and it would be desirable to see a pullback to the 2,100–2,150 zone now, to test the breakout volume. H4 TF”
Worst call
-0.8%“Both $BTC and $ETH are showing clear signs of a fake breakout to the upside. Shorts are the priority. https://t.co/0oRGSvva6N”
Best call
+0.4%“The ETF engine has barely run this year. YTD net flows are near zero, yet BTC is down just 7%. With little ETF demand and prices holding up, heavy selling by OG whales or miners seems unlikely. Those who wanted to sell have likely already sold. I expect bullish momentum to return once midterm uncertainty fades and ETF inflows resume.”
Worst call
-0.6%“Coinbase Premium hit a 4-year low. The last time it was this low was in Nov 2022, right after the FTX collapse, when BTC bottomed. Market sentiment is bearish enough to be bullish, imo. https://t.co/jab4bk1GIX”
Best call
“FOCUS https://t.co/MxmcZZ2x4D”
Worst call
-3.6%“you are not too late, but probably not bullish enough, not even close https://t.co/eL8Lrqf8NH”
Best call
+1.7%“$BTC #Bitcoin is Breaking out of a Bullish Rectangle after 30 days of consolidation..📈 imo, 88k Incoming soon..🔜 https://t.co/Mjw2wYfaMd”
Worst call
-2.1%“$BTC #Bitcoin Send it Higher..🪂 https://t.co/baFziWolN0”
“$BTC 1H bullish outside bar near key daily support https://t.co/CNtnaozsAu https://t.co/iGMf8C4uwY”
Worst call
-1.2%“$BTC target is 73k as long as bulls can hold 67k zone https://t.co/neZRItq9Vn https://t.co/mmCdNbhWH2”
Best call
+0.5%“I think we are likely putting in some kind of big inverse head and shoulders, just like the last bottom fwiw. Question is where does that higher low form. I think around here, $80k is the first spot to pay attention too. Lose weekly demand, fail the breakout and we are likely looking into the low $70ks. Equities losing momentum could play a factor into where that low occurs. Either way I'm still overall bullish BTC and want to be a net buyer over the coming months.”
Worst call
-1.1%“If we continue to track last bear market bottom's fractal, running $75k would be expected. Also remember, FTX blew up during the last bear market bottom. Today Binance experienced the largest Crypto hack ever. $BTC https://t.co/MMY9j6Rcr9”
Best call
+0.1%“They thought they could stop solana:Ai66LHZG9MCzg1WKdawwqduVAXpNDUuV8M3uyq5ppump $80M hit again today. Next stop, smashing ATH. https://t.co/IX20D3pz1o”
Worst call
-0.2%“@MylesGinvest I’d argue this means the larger players are betting on upside. Probably a pullback at some point but it isn’t looking like a new low.”
Best call
+0.6%“> Make the DATs puke > Depeg Saylor's preferred stock series > Spread the quantum compute fears > Hack every single cold storage brand > Make all of the plebs short on perps ... > Now send BTC straight to the moon with no pullbacks Thanks for playing. https://t.co/yAWw4ytbTs”
Worst call
-1.0%“One of the best moves that he's made so far. Saylor took ridiculous risks and he sold the exact bottom, but he's going to wriggle himself out of a very sticky situation it seems. The market probs doesn't have to worry about this Sword of Damocles anymore either so... Bullish. https://t.co/P1O5dUaceG”
Best call
+0.5%“@coinmamba I am mostly excited for ETH breakout after all the mess it has faced afte 10/10”
Worst call
-0.6%“@zerohedge if that's the path then the dollar side of the trade is pretty obvious, hard assets and btc get the bid”
Best call
+0.6%“bottom is in bears were wrong $btc going to ath now https://t.co/mPFwTC6bY4”
Worst call
-0.8%“justin sun says he sold 80-90% of his $ETH at $3.6k to $4k ct is calling him a genius now go look at his wallet..... $567m of staked $ETH still sitting in lido and yesterday $28m of $PEPE landed in the same wallet from a poloniex multisig first time he touched $PEPE in over two years to be fair he did say he kept a core bag but a half billion dollar core bag is not a guy whos done with $ETH hes talking it down in interviews while sitting on top of it 😂 $ETH reclaims $3k before sun sells another coin”
Best call
+0.7%“#BTC Another thing worth noting: It's not really an inspiring price development for Bitcoin to rally from ~$76800 in mid-September to now retrace the entirety of that move and get back to the same support level That could be a sign of ~$76800 weakening as support Which is why if Bitcoin Weekly Closes below either $78.3k or $76.8k, that could confirm that mounting weakness here $BTC #Bitcoin”
Worst call
-4.0%“#BTC Bitcoin will need to rally a lot more that what it has produced thus far if price is to invalidate the "weakening support" idea At the moment, technicals are pointing to $60k as a weakening macro support $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/jYqcE6WzUg https://t.co/Wyu52KkNzA”
Best call
+0.8%“#Bitcoin New highs after $77,800 break 🚀🚀 $87-88k area next resistance. https://t.co/h1cfzRhhTY https://t.co/zVgUbSyjpE”
Worst call
-1.1%“solana:HgBRWfYxEfvPhtqkaeymCQtHCrKE46qQ43pKe8HCpump (per request) Not much of a read on this chart.. pretty steep downtrend and just at resistance now. https://t.co/cT2cuwRAbQ”
Best call
+0.7%“@BitcoinArchive Seems like the bulls are getting ready for another run.”
Worst call
-1.0%“@_CryptoZee ETH bounce looks more convincing”
“More upside for $BTC is capped for today imo. https://t.co/nCdwTFwOXP”
Worst call
-4.7%“Sentiment is so negative Time to buy some $ETH”
“$SOL $120-$150 incoming.... interesting that this is outperforming eth today https://t.co/hALZozyMuh”
Worst call
-2.6%“$ETH just looks primed for the next leg up eventually imo https://t.co/APsf3r6t8h”
Best call
+0.4%“This kind of price action in Bitcoin and my timeline fighting over whether more people are calling for Black Monday or not and what they means for tomorrow. I’d say it’s going lower.”
Worst call
-1.3%“Bitcoin short exposure from the last few day’s playing out nicely so far. Also, I said I think the risk is that people will be slow to respond to weakness here, because they sincerely thought this was the start of some major push to the highs instead of a longer process. https://t.co/PPmNbeEA5n”
“$BTC and the S&P 500 are showing signs of weakening momentum as US Treasury yields remain elevated. Similar conditions appeared in 2018 and early 2025, when pressure on equities coincided with sharp $BTC corrections. Higher yields can make risk assets less attractive, potentially putting more pressure on crypto. If the S&P 500 enters a deeper correction, Bitcoin could follow. History may not repeat itself, but the risk of further downside is worth watching.”
Worst call
-1.1%“Next stop, $134 solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 🎯 https://t.co/tJICnBGw8j”
Best call
+0.6%“#BITCOIN | WEEKLY | 50ma band The crowd always finds ways to overcomplicate and confuse themselves. The position we are in is the same as early 2023. 50ema > 50sma = Accumulation 50ema > 50sma = Bottom is already in https://t.co/uHE6QJ8PwO”
Worst call
-0.8%“The bear market is officially over. 𓄀 ▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▱▱▱▱ bull market loading #Bitcoin 🟠 ꜛ #Ethereum 🔹ꜛ #Altcoins ⛁ ꜛ Welcome back. https://t.co/w9UjUyJt2J”
Best call
+0.8%“BTC is now around $81.6K after breaking through the $79.5K resistance we’ve been watching. For me, the big level now is $79.5K. If that holds as support, I think Bitcoin has a clear shot at testing $82K next. The breakout is done. Now we need to see the retest hold. https://t.co/j34MHijJn1”
Worst call
-2.1%“The “perfect” jobs report is probably a little weaker than expected, but not weak enough to scare the market. A soft landing is exactly what risk assets want right now. If we get that today, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bitcoin benefit from falling yields and a weaker dollar.”
Best call
+0.3%“Didn’t expect that liquidity grab at market open. I think bitcoin:native candles back up very swiftly and will perform very well in the short term. Added on this dip. I remain with my stance that we will have a strong run into the digital asset clarity act on sep 15th, probably followed by a sharp correction ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ and then rebuild momentum heading into Q4 for an altcoin season like back in Q4 of 2017. Hoping this is how it plays out, and time this to perfection and catch some big upswings on the memes/alts. Investing heavy into RH, i think this will be the chain for memes on Ethereum. BNB and SOL will have their time again obviously. It goes in swings and round abouts, its moving to where the attention is going and getting in early.”
Worst call
-0.5%“$BTC gonna bounce exactly as predicted”
“Starting to move here on $ETH 🤝 https://t.co/13ea27OT46 https://t.co/FHu8uzg0ye”
Worst call
-8.4%“Selling everything when $SOL hits $1,096. No further questions. 🤝 https://t.co/MbEBnGRM2U”
Best call
+0.1%“the longer the line, the more important the breakout this is positive for ethereum:native $BMNR $BMNP https://t.co/5wRQ0oHzUC”
Worst call
-1.4%“This major decline in Korean equities likely spilling over into crypto - margin liquidations in brokerage - Koreans major holders of crypto Short term pain $ETH https://t.co/Pe6bWrCBun”
Best call
+1.0%“Bitcoin's new BULL MARKET is just getting started! $BTC is going way higher for one BIG reason!! Anthony Pompliano schools Fox Business host: https://t.co/41Aodi2uGq”
Worst call
-8.7%“"this rally will fail like all the others" $BTC $ETH”
“looking at $SOL on the weekly then vs now. we got there about 6 mnths early but now is the time to buy. https://t.co/9BZ0nMk2E9 https://t.co/h7okr34CcJ”
Worst call
-5.6%“it was in fact the time to buy $sol https://t.co/NPWS3vErlH”
“@TheBTCTherapist Just the usual crypto pump and dump. Look at $DOGE and you’ll know where it ends.”
Worst call
-0.2%“$1.0M Bitcoin is coming. https://t.co/jaX1n4exoq”
“Bitcoin at $70k and the panic posts are already flowing. I've watched this movie five times since 2011. I bought at $2 when $32 was "the top." Same feeling. Same noise. Spoiler: people who buy during panic usually thank themselves later.”
Worst call
-0.1%“#Bitcoin: $1 → $32 → $2 → $100,000 → $77,000 I was there for all of it. You know what changed? Nothing. Same FUD. Same panic. Same people selling the bottom. See you at $500k.”
“Oh boy. BTC. Textbook Cup and handle. 100k chip shot now. Really looks good. 🚀🚀 https://t.co/Q3BoFoP09E”
Worst call
-0.4%“Still thinking chip shot to 100k for BTC. Little abc sideways correction hopefully nearing end. Still cup and handle. All the focus on AI/Coreweave cds/SpaceX/Anthropic ipo/Ndx. Great time for a face ripper. 🚀🚀 https://t.co/pYZF5QFQh9”
“Ok, that’s it. I’ve seen enough to call it. $100,000 Bitcoin by Thanksgiving.”
Worst call
-0.5%“Bitcoin is about to begin the next phase of the most significant bull market of all time.”
“Insane to think that at one point, there were nearly 1M $BTC tweets/day across CT. Tweet volume is now a fraction of past peaks, and this is with significantly more bots in the mix than we had back then. Buying when social volume bottoms out has historically been one of the best entries you can make. Nfa, just sayin.”
“I think we see an ETH god candle soon”
Worst call
-1.0%“ETH, Solana, BTC all look excellent. The bottom is indeed in. https://t.co/hTaK0218ye”
“@NBA_ComputerMan Money tends to rotate from asset class to asset class, according to opportunity and economic cycles, and I believe it will rotate back into bitcoin again soon.”
“USD liquidity is recharging. Expect $BTC weakness until Fed and or Banks start growing their balance sheet. https://t.co/vC8dNMxmo2”
Worst call
-0.2%“I dumped it all. The Maelstrom directional book, took profits on $ETH, $ENA, $UNI and other shitcoins. I think we gotta go down to go up. It looks a bit dicey out there in macro and geopolitical land. Going to sit on the sidelines and wait for the all clear signal … Brrrrr”
“The dovish signals keep firing. As mentioned above in the last roundup, the policy is clear as day on the following: - marginal macro policy is moving towards the Treasury - The government will ensure the AI buildout goes off without a hitch. Since new marginal buildout is being funded with debt, the long end must be kept in check through that. - The change to the word changes in QRA a couple weeks ago was a clear signal that Bessent is happy to outdo Yellen in supporting the long end - Because of this, I’m liking debasement trades again like gold and Bitcoin. Gold up 3% today. Think Bitcoin will do well too. The game is rigged, the vol controllers are alive and well. Don’t fight it :)”
Worst call
-0.7%“@Wyckoff3_0 @AidanGarrib I’ve been bull posting since low 60k bitcoin lol Views are unchanged Bullish and just holding my bags”
“Debasement drives everything. Nothing stops it until AI and robots replace population growth. Nasdaq has beaten the debasement rate by roughly 12% a year... a great asset to own, because tomorrow is always more digital than today. Bitcoin has beaten it by 89% a year. That's why crypto is the super massive black hole of asset allocation. It becomes the most powerful asset we've ever had. The greatest performing asset of all time. This is the crux of my Everything Code framework... why debt forces central banks to debase, why markets endlessly go higher, and why only tech and crypto beat it.”
Worst call
-3.0%“Zcash is one hell of a chart... I'm still very long Sui, ETH and Sol too. Just kept adding all into the big sell offs and hold, comfy in spot and let the game play out over time. Patience in a secular trend almost always wins if you can manage your emotions. https://t.co/KxTnbfs1QH”
“ETH looks like its going to grind everyone to bits, then pump right to $3K+”
“At what point does BTC become a scam? BTC has a collapsing security budget, which undermines scarcity & it cannot evolve to save itself! Insiders saw the math for years & continued lying to the public anyway BTC is now a trillion-dollar meme coin sold to the next greater fool!”
Worst call
-0.1%“@vishal4c A situation we have to reverse as soon as we can BTC's collapse is inevitable now, so the more we prop it up, the worse it will be when it blows up Make no mistake: This cannot be avoided, as it is all in the code itself & Core refuses to fix it before it is too late”
“been saying this on Twitter since 2018 but everyone disagreed ETH and SOL are only valuable insofar as they become "Future Money" / receive long-term HODL demand their initial monetary premium emerged due to them being "gambling chips" in their respective casinos (ICO + DeFi) and (Trenches) respectively, with a bunch remaining/sitting/lost/burnt/locked in people's wallets and various protocols to this day giving them some floor 99% of participants, however, even large ones, incorrectly reason about them as some sort of BTC-beta + Tech Platform hybrids The Tech is good but the Coins are mid... Both coins are about 10x overvalued and are being momentum-traded purely on vibes as BTC beta due to 'indexing' / 'diversification' habits acquired from TradFi stock instincts... no one wants to admit this obvious truth... They will still go up with the Tide during a Bull Market though, but no one wants to discuss these things from first principles. In order to be an ETH / SOL megabull, you need to clearly explain why they are a superior Future Neo-Gold than BTC (and Gold) strictly from a monetary perspective... if you can't, then there is no thesis... This is why competing on Tech is a fool's errand going into AGI... If you value Tech above all else then you are not going to have a good time in a World with 1 trillion agents (aka algorithmic immigrants) with 275 IQ... (assuming they don't kill us all) look into spx6900, a movement to flip the stock market. a giant wealth redistribution mechanism cosplaying as a post-ironic memecoin.”
“prob time for btc and eth to run”
“@FranklinBobMor1 No I just made a chunk and am reducing my net exposure. I will buy any dip but today seemed like a short term top in metals. Crypto IDK. Bitcoin looks like it could pick up another 3-5% before pulling back”
“@BitElite17 We are now in Autumn Equinox period which usually serves as a pivot point. BTC has gone from 58 to 87k… BTC may push a little higher but in my opinion it’s time for a sentiment reset”
“Nice so far from $SOL 👌 Still targeting $84 and $90. https://t.co/Vesu9D1q7s https://t.co/5qroytpZDw”
Worst call
-0.8%“What’s interesting this time is that mining costs have been trending lower for nearly a year while $BTC keeps testing and dipping below. That's a very different setup from past interactions where costs were stable and trending higher before price ever interacted. If BTC is chasing mining costs lower instead of mining costs acting as a floor, that’s not immediately bullish IMO.”
“@dotkrueger @LawrenceLepard Yes And unless they preemptively print, 1st first step whenever it bursts is EVERYTHING other than USD (& maybe gold...maybe) falls to levels so low most cannot comprehend...including BTC. IE - owning BTC today is a bet this Ponzi never busts or that they preemptively print.”
“Bitcoin has gone parabolic 4/4 times when the business cycle crosses above zero line. 2009 - 2012 - 2016 - 2026 5th cross has triggered. https://t.co/SBXPbwFWro”
“In other words, buy the whole bottom, and stop worrying about trying to time the pico bottom. The majority buy when it feels safe to do so, which is during the euphoric bubbles. The smart minority buy when nobody cares, during apathetic drawn down markets. https://t.co/kOnVmZkaLO”
“Listen babe. $BTC is going back to all-time highs. Guaranteed. https://t.co/5Hj5i6i0Or”
“This is getting scary. As a country we need to turn this around. Sec Bessent was correct in targeting 3-3-3. Unfortunately we aren’t even close to that. War doesn’t help. A Congress that never says “no” doesn’t help. At one point t the bond market will force fiscal discipline. Inflation across so many sectors over the past 10 years is directly correlated to this massive increase in debt. Incumbents on both sides will feel this in the mid terms. It’s the govts inability to deal with its spending addiction that keeps me bullish BTC even in a year where the energy in the crypto space is low.”
“I believe $ZEC will soon eclipse 2% the market cap of Bitcoin, which will lead to a series of god candles to new highs beyond $2000 by the end of the year. Believe in something. Send it zigher. https://t.co/z6SiPSiASg https://t.co/Tm3nCD68Y0”
“@cryptokillua99 nah its going up only starting right now”
“$ETH with a new leg down rn. https://t.co/3lD2sVtHnf”
“After surging 27% in five days, bitcoin:native has run into some major resistance. An ascending trendline connecting the previous low pivots as support, now resistance. https://t.co/quuCOvXvSW”
“BTC is an community based energy asset that historically accelerates out of bear markets when vol has compressed and it is ignored. This is measured best in sigma moves. The pattern of the last two major shifts coming out of 2018 and 2022 (I hate to say four year cycle but yes) the pattern was seen by a large weekly sigma move where BTC crossed the 200 day moving average the week of the sigma move. So far this week is exactly the same pattern. More in this week's video.”
