Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 Aug 2026, 16:22 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 19 Aug 2026, 15:49 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter https://t.co/WGU3PZnj2E https://t.co/br4PrpTshN

$BTC target is 73k as long as bulls can hold 67k zone https://t.co/neZRItq9Vn https://t.co/mmCdNbhWH2

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $68,439 at 19 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $72,809 at 20 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 72808.57 / 68439.03 − 1 = +6.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +6.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC target is 73k as long as bulls can hold 67k zone https://t.co/neZRItq9Vn https://t.co/mmCdNbhWH2”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3