Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,795 at 21 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,962 at 22 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 76961.54 / 77795.41 − 1 = -1.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology