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Leaderboard / @randgroup / 2098023014969336176:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Sept 2026, 12:17 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:19 UTC

ra

Rand Group

@randgroup

$ETH keeps consolidating amazingly over the main $2,350 range, bullish 💥 https://t.co/A7TgGNII8k

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,414 at 10 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,510 at 11 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 2509.8 / 2413.94 − 1 = +4.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +4.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH keeps consolidating amazingly over the main $2,350 range, bullish 💥 https://t.co/A7TgGNII8k”
Confidence: 90%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$2,414

Evaluation price

$2,510

Move

+4.0%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 15:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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