Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,462 at 13 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,504 at 14 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 2504.03 / 2461.6 − 1 = +1.72%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.72% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology