Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Sept 2026, 13:51 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:27 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Respectfully, I would not wait for lower $BTC prices. If you were waiting for 40k at 60k, all of the data should force you to reconsider.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,445 at 21 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,333 at 22 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 86333.37 / 85444.68 − 1 = +1.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“NO MORE BEAR CASE FOR bitcoin:native "Now we have the confirmation that we need that the BTC bear market is over." "I took a screenshot for you guys earlier, not even of the current price because it doesn't matter at the moment." "On that weekly BTC chart, that blue line is the 50 MA on the weekly. We are now above it. We had a weekly close above it yesterday on Sunday. That has been the confirmation of every bear market to bull market transition in the past for BTC." "More importantly, that black line at $82,814, which is an oddly specific amount, shows BTC breaking out for a higher high." "For technical analysts who look at charts and believe in them, there is no more bear case for BTC."”Repeat21 Sept 2026, 17:35 UTC
“🚨 $1.09 billion in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours as Bitcoin surged above $87,000. Of that total, $919.48 million came from shorts, including $557.64 million in Bitcoin shorts alone. At the same time, $160 billion was added to total crypto market cap in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin is up around +7.3% over the past 24 hours and +10% over the past 7 days. This officially puts Bitcoin up +50% since its low seen just 2 months ago, and +17.5% this month, even after the Senate failed to pass the Clarity Act. Respectfully, I would not wait for lower $BTC prices.”Repeat21 Sept 2026, 21:20 UTC

Uses only text available at publication time