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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · fetched 26 Oct 2026, 06:06 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$ETH - Update Looking for another leg down to clean those lows. Will wait for my scalp long upon holding. https://t.co/FdOPMiAmD9

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,339 at 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,340 at 25 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 2340.29 / 2339.23 − 1 = +0.0%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time