Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,738 at 29 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,764 at 30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 76764.14 / 78738.4 − 1 = -2.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology