Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Nov 2026, 15:06 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 15:19 UTC

Ignas

@DefiIgnas

Quoting · 5 Nov 2026, 14:49 UTC · context given to the AI

BTC pls just survive this AI stock crash. If BTC holds at this level, the $100k comes in no time

BTC you had one job! The market has spoken and BTC isn't getting a bid https://t.co/2ujQNr2oWn

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,754 at 6 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,666 at 7 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 75665.69 / 75753.56 − 1 = -0.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time