Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,514 at 22 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,379 at 23 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC.
3. r = 2378.52 / 2514.26 − 1 = -5.40%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -5.40% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology