Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Aug 2026, 10:37 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

CRG

@MacroCRG

$BTC closed last week right at the highs, gave v little back and now looks like it wants to push higher yet again nice open interest reset + spot premium nearly flipping green i used to pray for moments like this https://t.co/yx7kfJ29Xi

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,609 at 24 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,295 at 25 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 79294.87 / 77608.86 − 1 = +2.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC closed last week right at the highs, gave v little back and now looks like it wants to push higher yet again”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction