Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,237 at 4 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,206 at 5 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 78206.02 / 79236.59 − 1 = -1.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology