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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Oct 2026, 16:17 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Cold Blooded Shiller

@ColdBloodShill

The flip for ethereum:native could be huge. We still have to deal with this overhead level, but momentum through $2400 and this is the first time we will have seen this much strength since October 2025. https://t.co/8TMVtGK0Eo

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,351 at 29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,230 at 30 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 2229.6 / 2350.5 − 1 = -5.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -5.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The flip for ethereum:native could be huge.”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

Source post

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AI interpretation

Outcome record

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