Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,742 at 2 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,676 at 3 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC.
3. r = 2675.52 / 2741.85 − 1 = -2.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology