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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Sept 2026, 18:54 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

Gaijin

@Gaijin165

In reply to · 20 Sept 2026, 18:23 UTC · context given to the AI

The best thing about this latest crypto rally is that $ETH hasn’t really pumped yet. Once it breaks ATH things will get much more interesting. Start dreaming now..

@coinmamba I am mostly excited for ETH breakout after all the mess it has faced afte 10/10

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,626 at 20 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,758 at 21 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 2758.15 / 2625.99 − 1 = +5.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +5.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@coinmamba I am mostly excited for ETH breakout after all the mess it has faced afte 10/10”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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