Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,879 at 21 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,969 at 22 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 85969.07 / 84878.78 − 1 = +1.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology