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Published 29 Sept 2026, 13:09 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
Alejandro₿TC
@Alejandro_XBT
The dollar is in a very similar technical position to October 2021. It has built a base near the bottom of the channel and, in my view, is setting up for another impulsive move toward the upper side. Go back and study what happened to Bitcoin in the months after the dollar started that rally. That’s why I’m not interested in calling a Bitcoin bottom yet. Until $DXY gets much closer to the top of this channel, I think the pressure on risk assets remains.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 84605.29 / 84189.68 − 1 = +0.5%d × r = -0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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