Published 27 Aug 2026, 08:27 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
Alejandro₿TC
@Alejandro_XBT
This is how I see the $BTC cycle. The 2022 bottom was accumulation, followed by an uptrend with multiple re-accumulation phases. What changed at the top is the structure: distribution first, then lower highs and re-distribution. That’s the key difference. As long as this structure holds, I see rallies as opportunities to sell, not the start of a new bull market. My main target remains the $30K area.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 79520.05 / 79755.26 − 1 = -0.3%d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
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