Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @KoroushAK / 2090792243636637995:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Aug 2026, 13:24 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC

Ko

Koroush AK

@KoroushAK

Listen babe. $BTC is going back to all-time highs. Guaranteed. https://t.co/5Hj5i6i0Or

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,244 at 21 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,277 at 22 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 77277.3 / 77244.23 − 1 = +0.04%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.04% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC is going back to all-time highs.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

neutral

Baseline price

$77,244

Evaluation price

$77,277

Move

+0.04%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction