Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 Oct 2026, 17:42 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Cold Blooded Shiller

@ColdBloodShill

Here's that level on bitcoin:native that we REALLY want to see hold. Former highs covering essentially the whole of 2026. This is about as clear as it gets for bulls. https://t.co/YIJRyBbBMz

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,679 at 8 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,644 at 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 82643.61 / 80678.66 − 1 = +2.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Here's that level on bitcoin:native that we REALLY want to see hold.”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction