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Prediction accuracy
AI reads explicit and implied calls from X posts; a rules-based engine checks each call's price at several horizons and ranks callers by what following their calls returned, alongside hit rate, risk, drawdown and consistency. This measures calls, not executed trades. How scoring works
Call of the week
+3.1%“The blue wave will lead to more money printing. The accelerated money printing will lead to higher prices in bitcoin, gold, and productive land. Don't fight the money printer.”
Worst aged tweet
-4.7%“Sentiment is so negative Time to buy some $ETH”
Upset of the week
@CryptoJelleNL has 18× fewer followers than @AshCrypto, and out-calls them.
See the head-to-head →116 of 164 tracked callers have calls in this view; 88 are ranked. Ranked by ROI, then hit rate. Calls resolved up to 10 Nov 2026 · engine run #433, 10 Nov 2026, 18:13 UTC. Under 5 scored calls is low sample and not ranked.
Ranking follows ROI: the average return per call, which is what following every call with an equal stake returned. Hit rate only breaks ties. A 55% caller whose wins are big outranks a 65% caller whose wins are tiny. Full methodology
| Rank | Trend | Account | ROI How it’s ranked | Hit rate | Mean alpha | Calls |
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Following every call: average return per call
Following every call: average return per call
| C / I |
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| Backers |
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Best call
+7.0%“$ETH update: Feels good man Hardest part done, now comes the easier part The easier part being sitting on my flippers waiting for price to go up more https://t.co/PHotkNdIq2”
Worst call
-0.9%“$ETH No serious resistance left IMO I'm just gonna ignore everything and HODL https://t.co/LjyiMe8sCE https://t.co/8kve0yMhys”
Best call
+0.7%Best call
+3.7%Best call
+0.9%Best call
+2.5%Best call
+0.7%Best call
+0.7%Best call
+0.8%Best call
+3.9%Best call
+1.1%Best call
+2.1%Best call
+2.5%Best call
+3.2%Best call
+1.5%Best call
+3.2%Best call
+2.1%Best call
+2.6%Best call
+2.5%Best call
+3.6%Best call
+1.0%Best call
+2.9%Best call
+1.2%Best call
+2.7%Best call
+2.0%Best call
+1.7%Best call
+1.1%Best call
+1.2%Best call
+1.5%Best call
+1.2%Best call
+1.7%Best call
+2.2%Best call
+1.6%Best call
+1.9%Best call
+4.3%Best call
+0.9%Best call
+1.4%Best call
+0.9%Best call
+0.9%Best call
+1.2%Best call
+1.0%Best call
+1.2%Best call
+1.5%Best call
+0.8%Best call
+1.4%Best call
+1.8%Best call
+1.2%Low sample · under 5 scored calls
Best call
+0.6%Best call
+0.6%Best call
+0.6%Worst call
-1.3%Best call
+0.6%Best call
+0.5%Best call
+0.4%Best call
+0.3%Best call
+0.3%Best call
+0.3%Worst call
-0.3%Best call
+1.0%Best call
+0.3%Worst call
-0.4%Worst call
-0.2%Worst call
-0.8%Worst call
-0.3%Worst call
-0.1%Best call
+0.2%Worst call
-0.0%Best call
+0.4%Best call
+0.4%Best call
+0.1%Best call
+0.0%Best call
+0.5%Best call
+0.1%Best call
+0.1%Best call
+0.2%Most wrong bullish calls, under 50% right
Ranked callers
88 / 116
28 low sample
Cohort hit rate
49.8%
4776 directional calls
Cohort mean alpha
+0.0%
Return minus the same bet on BTC
Directional resolution
100%
8 neutral excluded
Pending / unresolved
3 / 1
Not yet matured / missing price
Window = which calls count (by when they resolved); horizon = how long after each call the price is checked. Repeated calls on the same asset and direction within 24 hours count once. Missing prices stay unresolved and are never estimated. “Back” records interest only (sign in with X); no money changes hands and it never affects scores.
Best call
+2.4%“@Hawk_Finance Yeah, 108k is the upper target I have in my pinned post, since February. Basically the price has been chopping around between 60k-70k since then, which I consider accumulation zone. Let's see how it develops over the next few weeks ;) https://t.co/BwEdgRtQJ8”
Worst call
-0.2%“$ETH update Retracement played out. It started at the same resistance level, and stopped at the same support level as in 2025. Fractal things. Bullish continuation expected, just like the rest of the market.”
Best call
+1.3%“Insane to think that at one point, there were nearly 1M $BTC tweets/day across CT. Tweet volume is now a fraction of past peaks, and this is with significantly more bots in the mix than we had back then. Buying when social volume bottoms out has historically been one of the best entries you can make. Nfa, just sayin.”
Worst call
-0.3%“$BTC total tweet volume just dropped to its lowest since 2020. This is exactly the kind of silence that precedes generational trades. https://t.co/9NncfVEETU”
Best call
+1.0%“In the last 24 hours: * The SEC released Regulation Crypto Assets * The Treasury launched yield curve control * The White House prepared for a meeting with top crypto execs to discuss tokenization and the Clarity Act. Hard not to be extremely bullish both BTC and crypto right now ow.”
Worst call
-0.1%“When the government artificially suppresses long-term interest rates, it erodes the value of savings. Investors need to buy hard assets to escape this. Bitcoin is the fastest horse in the race. https://t.co/VaowzEfo81”
Best call
+4.0%“$BTC BIG BREAKOUT”
Worst call
-0.6%“#Bitcoin daily says we're bullish! Just let the momentum have a retest and we send it higher https://t.co/yRlbPiVIdX”
Best call
+1.7%“@tulipking @botblastcap it’s fun to agree with tulip king when you have the same coins, really fun. sol to $2”
Worst call
-0.5%“@ByzGeneral bitcoin should go up now”
Best call
+3.1%“$ETH 5+ year ascending triangle remains intact. Years of compression, multiple tests of the lower boundary, and the structure is still holding. The longer the base, the more meaningful the eventual resolution. Patience. https://t.co/u5xJOxx8dP”
Worst call
-0.4%“I've been focused on $ETHBTC and (TOTAL3 - USDT - USDC) / ETH. When ETH starts outperforming both BTC and the altcoin market, it's usually the first sign that leadership is changing. That's the kind of strength that can kick off the next leg of the cycle. https://t.co/PuoPctN3is https://t.co/YRJuHAlSh5”
Best call
+0.8%“@zectrillionaire BREAKING : Shocking, Big Z or Zectrillionaire offended somebody posts something perceived ZEC negative.”
Worst call
-0.2%“Really solid Bitcoin push here to break the intermediate trend and resume the secular bull trend. As is common in any new move, a nasty shakeout is likely, but I’d suspect it doesn’t come until later and from higher. https://t.co/XD3760P6R1”
Best call
+1.9%“To everyone who thinks the bottom is in: 1. The Fed is now talking about HIKING rates this year 2. $4 billion left the bitcoin ETFs this month, that's record breaking numbers... More pain coming...”
Worst call
-3.6%“BREAKING🚨Mt. Gox is dumping $BTC! They just deposited $8.16M of Bitcoin into bitstamp! LOWER LOWS are coming. What have I been telling you?!”
“Also think you can long eth and short gold with size It was retarded watching metals outperform programmable money for years Time for this to correct and eth to run and all of us to make money on alts https://t.co/l1YpnsoCIV”
Worst call
-0.2%“I’d be uncozy if I were a sol maxi Constant threat of rotation to eth here If it breaks below monthly support, don’t be stubborn https://t.co/jOXZZ4CI1l”
“$SOL update Bounced from a bit above the green box. Broke out of the bull flag. Any dencent correction is a buy imo. https://t.co/aIb9LS1Dgq”
Worst call
-1.0%“#BTC As written yesterday: "not 100% convinced about that green box, we might go a bit lower" Unfolded like that, we're now hitting another box and I think we're close to "a" bounce. https://t.co/oiRmKhQrnh https://t.co/aKeDqteF3I”
Best call
“Oh boy. BTC. Textbook Cup and handle. 100k chip shot now. Really looks good. 🚀🚀 https://t.co/Q3BoFoP09E”
Worst call
-0.4%“Still thinking chip shot to 100k for BTC. Little abc sideways correction hopefully nearing end. Still cup and handle. All the focus on AI/Coreweave cds/SpaceX/Anthropic ipo/Ndx. Great time for a face ripper. 🚀🚀 https://t.co/pYZF5QFQh9”
“Both $SOL and $ETH heading for very strong weekly closes. $ETH breaks out of a 9-year downtrend against bitcoin:native. $SOL breaks out of an 8-month range. https://t.co/ifKKepSt8H”
Worst call
-0.2%“NOT HAPPY ABOUT THIS. DOWN MORE LIKELY. Let's look at the set up, Yesterday Bitcoin made another attempt to break out of the flag. The attempt was Saylor have a great last day before STRC went ex-dividend. The attempt failed. Now Saylor is out of the market on STRC for a while (3 weeks). Without him I don't see how we break the flag and if we don't break it - its down from here! First level: $79k must hold. Second Level: $71k. I don't even want to talk about anything after that...”
Best call
“@Vivek4real_ BITCOIN GOING TO A BILLION DOLLARS”
Worst call
-0.9%“I’m still insanely bullish on Bitcoin.”
“BITCOIN PUMPS!!! "Bart believers" are in disbelief FOUR YEAR CYCLISTS FULLY SIDELINED!!!! @bullmania members printing and printing GUYS BULL MARKET IS HERE either you join it or remain sidelined pleb IVAN HAS BEEN CLEAR MARKET HAS PROVEN US RIGHT https://t.co/UQOqseXP5g”
Worst call
-2.4%“BITCOIN GOING VERY HIGH!!!! all dips are for buying now (since 200w ma touch) bears are all cooked scott bessent deploying 1 trillion into bond markets solana to $1000 eth to $10000 all shitters max max max valhalla TIME TO BE BOLD AND BULLISH https://t.co/SXpA5Pt1u2”
Best call
+3.1%“The blue wave will lead to more money printing. The accelerated money printing will lead to higher prices in bitcoin, gold, and productive land. Don't fight the money printer.”
Worst call
-1.3%“It is going to be glorious when all the profits from AI investing rotate back into bitcoin and gold.”
“"Situationship" is my $BTC bull porn essay on how the AI bubble will burst, and why the money printer will go hyper brrrr and take us back to a rip roaring bull market. "The question of internal framing is the key variable that determines whether AI is a bubble. But before we understand the bubbliciousness of AI, the better question to ask is in what kind of businesses are we investing, or in relationship terms, “What are we”? The dichotomy, at least to my Luddite brain, is the distinction between what investors believe AI CAPEX represents: is it technology or real estate? The zeitgeist is that this multi-trillion dollar build out is “technology” and must receive insane growth multiples by the market. But I believe AI CAPEX is just another boring real estate play. However, in this instance, what’s inside the data center is compute that creates silicon-based lifeforms that will aid human civilizational development in the most profound way since the railroads. The distinction between real estate and compute is important because the recently post-pubescent hedge fund bro, the bank, the private credit fund, and ultimately the government believes funding the building of a data center and power plant is like lending to Apple, instead of lending to Lehman Brothers. The bursting of the AI bubble will occur because financial intermediaries, tacitly supported by the US and Chinese governments, will over build data centers and everything that goes into providing the substrate to house chips that train AI models and conduct inference. Therefore, the AI bubble is a credit story like 2008 and not an earnings story like 2000.[1]" Link to my substack and the full article on my bio.”
Worst call
-0.2%“I dumped it all. The Maelstrom directional book, took profits on $ETH, $ENA, $UNI and other shitcoins. I think we gotta go down to go up. It looks a bit dicey out there in macro and geopolitical land. Going to sit on the sidelines and wait for the all clear signal … Brrrrr”
“🔵 Only ~50% of #Bitcoin is in profit right now. How long will BTC stay stuck in this blue zone? It could take a couple more months… but once this metric flips back to 🟢, a new bull cycle begins. History is clear on what happens next 👀 https://t.co/uPeVuzpHd9”
Worst call
-0.1%“Bitcoin closed August at $78,571 - Above 200 week MA $65k - Above 5 month (STH) realized price $72k - All realized prices are increasing again - Bitcoin in profit 72% (up from 50%) - Monthly RSI 51 (up from 41) IMO the bottom is behind us. I expect higher prices from here. https://t.co/h5IcFoBJG6”
“Bitcoin to Nasdaq correlation sharply dropped to the lowest level since 2018: It's now negative as Nasdaq is going down while BTC is pumping. Boomers love this stuff: They love to make portfolios with uncorrelated assets, thus BTC now looks sexier than ever, especially as 1) QQQ is concentrated AI trade and 2) it's dumping. It strengthens BTC's digital gold narrative, proves it's a more mature asset, and hopefully manages to trade higher if/when AI trade deflates further. TL;DR - bullish!”
Worst call
-0.5%“BTC you had one job! The market has spoken and BTC isn't getting a bid https://t.co/2ujQNr2oWn”
Best call
“This Bitcoin and crypto selloff is clearly a bit overdone at this point. Shorts are pressing their bets with leverage which is always a good sign because it makes the reversals more violent. Some crypto equities look like they don’t want to go much lower. I think we bounce soon.”
Worst call
-0.5%“Bitcoin is about to begin the next phase of the most significant bull market of all time.”
“$ETH There is our volatility and another attempt at a break above $1950+. Needs to hold here and I will be targeting $2100 next. https://t.co/w3GGm7j9EN”
Worst call
-1.2%“$SOL Is attempting to retake its previous range which it spend about 4 months consolidating in. We were tracking this range and expecting a large move to occur once broken, that did happen at the start of june and was quickly followed by a 20%+ down move. With price now retracing that all and retaking the $78 level, that could set up for an interesting reversal play to the range high. Watching closely for the closes around this area.”
“The Rise and Fall of Bitcoin Treasury Companies “One thing I got right and got right early in the face of extreme pushback was that Bitcoin treasury companies were a horrible idea, the next bubble" “They’d take a defunct pharmaceutical company, turn it into a Bitcoin treasury, the stock goes up, buy a bunch of Bitcoin at the top, with no plan to ever do it again. The premium collapsed and they all top-blasted” “This was the dumbest thing I’d seen in a long time and I screamed about it repeatedly. I got pitched to invest and didn’t because it was obviously dumb””
Worst call
-0.6%“BOTTOM SIGNAL: Bitcoin's longest historical "FEAR" stretch “When you zoom out on the one-year trend, this was the longest period we’ve ever spent in fear and extreme fear in history” “Are people usually right when they’re extremely fearful? Is that a top signal or a bottom signal? Of course it’s a bottom signal, and we still remain in fear to this day” “Historically, long extended periods of extreme fear are bottom signals, not top signals””
Best call
+2.2%“bitcoin:native update Longs looking good. 76.2K tagged exactly as discussed below and traded in the discord. Personally filled half of my bids, looking for a partial TP at 78.3K~ if market offers. https://t.co/j0u03OQny9 https://t.co/qYw3QTGxjh”
Worst call
-0.6%“@Nathx099 yep. been saying stay away from BTC and ETH since saylor/lee ruined them, long time now. https://t.co/wQvjbHaFet”
“At what point does BTC become a scam? BTC has a collapsing security budget, which undermines scarcity & it cannot evolve to save itself! Insiders saw the math for years & continued lying to the public anyway BTC is now a trillion-dollar meme coin sold to the next greater fool!”
Worst call
-1.2%“Ethereum has failed! The cause is centralized control & dysfunction; a fatal combination Vitalik is a dictator steering ETH into oblivion, losing its lead in usage & fees due to their "L2 scaling" roadmap Refusing stakeholder voting means we must vote with our feet instead: 🧵 We can know this for certain, as the political analysis clearly exposes centralized control & dysfunction. The leadership, including Vitalik, has repeatedly spoken out against token voting, but what exactly is the alternative here? Centralized Governance You guessed it, the only alternative is centralized control & decision making Without formal systems of on-chain governance, power instead concentrates informally within the pre-existing status quo, as the only way to solve this hard coordination problem off-chain is through extreme centralization For those in the know, this is following exactly the same playbook as BTC, which went through a civil war that managed to squash all opposition to this status quo & entirely pivot BTC away from L1 scaling, contrary to its original design & vision That also tells us that this problem is systemic to these blockchains' design & not purely contextual, as this pattern keeps repeating itself. Fortunately, that also means we can most likely fix it with more systemic changes That is why token voting is so important to break out of that vicious cycle of failure. That is why it must be part of the next evolution of blockchain design Ethereum Scaling You might now protest & say that ETH is scaling, but that is unfortunately not exactly true, at least not in a competitive sense There are now finally plans in place to increase capacity, but not speed... This makes ETH utterly uncompetitive in the most lucrative use cases in crypto. Putting ETH on a losing path! More specifically, the ZKEVM roadmap is the next blunder in ETH's roadmap history. Just like the "L2 scaling" roadmap, they will waste the next four years on it & they will have very little to show for it The time it takes to compute a fraud proof requires slow block times. This slows the entire chain down, permanently, as this also only scales linearly... Overly complex, slow & with additional centralization trade-offs (builder centralization). Another terrible decision in a long line of terrible decisions, with trade-offs that make no logical sense from an engineering perspective! But Decentralization The argument, then, is always "but decentralization". This also falls apart when you properly factor in the economic effects on blockchain design. As it is, fees that ultimately pay for decentralization, security & scarcity Therefore, in the long run, whatever chain that wins the most fees will be the most decentralized, precisely because it is so useful. By making ETH useless, they are severely hurting its long-term decentralization! We then end up in a situation where competitors are faster, cheaper & more decentralized, scarce & secure What argument is then left for ETH? None! At that point, it becomes a cult centered on a purely speculative meme token. That is exactly what happened to BTC, as ETH is more useful, scarce, more secure & decentralized than BTC today. The exact same thing will now happen to ETH as it continues to be overtaken & history repeats itself Centralization Spiral Paradoxically, the more ETH's leadership denies that they exist, the more they distance themselves from decision-making: The more centralized it gets! That is because human beings need power structures/leadership/governance processes & in the absence of formal structures, human beings gravitate towards informal power structures, which always tend to be more dictatorial, corrupt, & dysfuctional Explaining ETH's steady decline over several years now The Alternatives What is the alternative, you might ask? Well, there are plenty. The leaders in terms of fees & usage are most certainly SOL & HYPE. If, like me, you wished ETH had implemented sharding as initially promised, NEAR is a great option. At scale, NEAR is also far more decentralized than ETH! SOL's relative evaluation compared to ETH only needs to double to overtake ETH in the security budget, at only one-fifth of the market cap! This is due to a higher rate of staking participation We can get even crazier: although I am still a critic of ADA's scalability, I would argue it is actually more decentralized than ETH TODAY. Due to its comparable validator count and robust on-chain governance! ETH Maximalism Maximalism is stupid, as it blinds us to the truth That ETH is becoming more cult-like is par the course. As such, an ideology is necessary to cope with the massive cognitive dissonance required to continue believing in what ETH has become That is why, over time, as things get more extreme, the reasonable people leave & the demographics shift to become more & more insane It is all so fascinating from an anthropological perspective, but tragic from the perspective of anyone who cares about this movement My History I say this as a former die-hard Ethereum supporter, as I own & help manage the oldest multi-asset liquid token fund in the world (@cybercapital) & from 2016 till 2022, ETH was the largest asset in the fund I even personally mined ETH in the first week after launch with my own 20 kW mining farm in 2015. I was seen wearing an Ethereum T-shirt at every conference I attended during that time, too! By 2023, when I became a critic of ETH's "L2 scaling" roadmap, I was ostracised & attacked. Going from respected community member to pariah overnight. (This does a lot to explain some of the tribalistic pressure for groupthink within crypto communities!) Yet now, four years later, my position is validated as even Vitalik acknowledges the "L2 scaling" roadmap as a failure & mistake: They are not the smartest people in the room when they keep messing it up! Conclusion We speak out because we care, we care about what Ethereum's leadership claims to care about The difference is that we are able to build a viable & competitive path towards that future, through actually building useful products, we can change the world for the better by being competitive in the free market Ethereum's centralized leadership is stuck in its own ivory tower, so out of touch that they have the audacity to release such an insane manifesto that every institution that would seriously look at it should run away There is no hope for Ethereum because the mechanisms for change are captured, while political analysis shows a leadership more extreme than ever. The opposition has been pushed out; that is what the recent mandate & all of the people leaving ETH reveal to us That is why Ethereum has failed; it has already lost, as there is no way to correct course anymore Because they refuse to give us the vote: We have to vote with our feet instead! ✊”
Best call
“solana:C8fU5GdfAt5mnw2RK7HE6XJGFNxHpaskZMkXxdm88888 starting to heat-up, moving nicely towards $0.30 I have a feeling it's not going to stop any time soon https://t.co/9rcOV4SVwc”
Worst call
-3.7%“I don't think $eth is dead. let's see a run to 5k why not https://t.co/kr4OXW0uQg”
“$BTC looks scary on the chart right now. But this is exactly the setup smart money accumulates. Descending triangle + horizontal support confluence near at the $60K level. Panic = their accumulation. The ones who buy the fear are the ones who make it. I'm watching this level very closely. 🔍”
Worst call
-1.1%“Next stop, $134 solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 🎯 https://t.co/tJICnBGw8j”
Best call
+1.8%“The Bitcoin chart looks bad, but check out the rest of crypto. The Ethereum chart looks worse, and the Solana chart looks worse than that. Everything looks like it's about to implode. So far, the selling has been very orderly with no signs of panic. That will likely change soon.”
Worst call
-0.9%“Bitcoin was never really correlated to gold, despite the false claims that it’s digital gold. However, there was a strong correlation to the NASDAQ that has since broken down. Bitcoin no longer rises when the NASDAQ rises. But, I think it will still fall when the NASDAQ falls.”
Best call
“solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 also has pretty clear skies here, potentially setting up for a move to 128-140 area for the next range, possibly ending this current accumulation range its also been in the past month https://t.co/ls2Zz9oh2i”
Worst call
-1.5%“Will still be net inflationary.. At the current pace its nearly 5m per day or 1.8b per year. and it's not cutting it in 1/2, its less than half per the proposal. That inflation already exists. Exhibit A and B. its permanent. The upside. Is nowhere near prev cycles bc of the starting point, market cap etc. there are far better places to get paid for the risks you take. its just math fren.”
“$ETH trying to get the flag ready again https://t.co/FRCef28ZJo”
Worst call
-1.6%“$ETH tested resistance perfectly, then tested the EMA, now riding back up https://t.co/NBvnYU072f”
“Short term looks just fuggin ugly for BTC. It's depressing to see while stocks just partying beyond ATH. Looks like a giant whale has been hammering spot sales through coinbase for a bit.”
Worst call
-0.9%“For the record, I did, and I closed it this morning. I woke up lucid, looking at the orderbooks. Large companies sending coins to Coinbase after selling, absorbed overnight. BTC doesn't care, holding strong above 63K. Masses overconfident in lower prices. UP is destined.”
“#Bitcoin The weekly bear flag is still likely to play out. https://t.co/Ex92HuUCG1”
Worst call
-1.0%“#Bitcoin The easiest path psychologically would be a straight drop. The most brutal one? A relief rally that convinces everyone the bottom is in… followed by a bull trap and one final leg lower. What’s your take?”
Best call
+1.0%“@BTCTimescom @Strive @_ALCPB I remain bullish.”
Worst call
-0.7%“I remain bullish on Bitcoin.”
Best call
+1.9%“Speaking of crazy Bitcoin signals... Copper/gold ratio has definitely made a positive turn - having just crossed its 1000-day SMA - and it would suggest a bull may be coming sooner than everyone expects a la 4-year magic. Be prepared. https://t.co/f3FPkX9VGD”
Worst call
-1.8%“Did you know you can measure Bitcoin the way you'd measure a factory? 🏭 It costs $50.4K in machines and electricity to produce one coin. It sells for $83.3K. So you're paying a 39% markup over production cost. Here's what matters. Across sixteen years, every time that markup was under 35%, Bitcoin was higher twelve months later. Every single time, no exceptions. Above 65% markup? Higher only 37% of the time. Today's 39% is at the cheap end of that range, and 70% of the last five years were pricier than right now. Might make sense to pick some up. NFA”
“I'm short Bitcoin. If this trade plays out, it's worth over $10,000. Until then? I'll be watching Brazil vs Scotland tonight. ⚽️ Making money while watching football isn't a bad combination. https://t.co/jfTXMQYcy4”
Worst call
-2.3%“Everyone asks: "Should I buy Bitcoin at $60K or wait for $50K?" The better question is: Will you care about a $10K difference when Bitcoin is above $150K? This is why I DCA. This is why I position early. The bull run rewards patience. Not perfect timing. https://t.co/ySMdplSBjn”
“Bitcoin below $80,000 is bearish. Bulls need to reclaim this level and close the week above it. https://t.co/BT4wixjT31”
Worst call
-1.6%“$BTC bottomed 34% below 200W MA last cycle. Even a 20% drop below 200W MA this time will send Bitcoin to $50,000. IMO, this is the zone Bitcoin will tap before any major reversal. https://t.co/8U1kMtxrYA https://t.co/iKXkvqJazR”
Best call
“first objective for solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 bulls: reclaim the local downtrend avwap early quarter dips are for buying imo https://t.co/FraBhcRbJ9 https://t.co/N5DmrkUExw”
Worst call
-0.7%“promising looking 4H bull div while deeply oversold after wicking March low $BTC https://t.co/UZlQCVCZfJ”
“$30 $SOL remains my base case. So much trash talk when I mentioned this a month ago. Didn't age well for them. It was $85 then, now $70. See you back at $60, then $30. https://t.co/W9xLmAEbgi https://t.co/idjt4VVpPx”
Worst call
-1.9%“Loaded some $BTC and $ETH spot positions on this dip. Still anticipating some early August relief to sweep $67k.”
Best call
“What if BTC is lagging behind Google’s long-term price action? Bitcoin’s catch-up rally could be insane. https://t.co/Oa8E4agOXk”
Worst call
-2.1%“BITCOIN IS BREAKING OUT 🚀 https://t.co/nl7Ml5EDvL”
“If you can't buy the dips, you don't deserve the rips. You should be accumulating as much spot $BTC as you can. https://t.co/FbOq96MuHU”
Worst call
-1.8%“For all of them $SOL degenerates, Its time to start bidding. I don't see SOL dropping below $40. That said, I'm not much of an altcoin guy, as you can probably tell, so my position will be relatively small. https://t.co/1U5IEIzPNw https://t.co/PyIB7Wr1zr”
Best call
+2.7%“Imagine waiting for a $40K dip while $BTC just consolidated over the main support and it's loading the next bullish leg https://t.co/KmK9MxRcCB”
Worst call
-1.8%“$ETH keeps consolidating amazingly over the main $2,350 range, bullish 💥 https://t.co/A7TgGNII8k”
Best call
“Bitcoin at $70k and the panic posts are already flowing. I've watched this movie five times since 2011. I bought at $2 when $32 was "the top." Same feeling. Same noise. Spoiler: people who buy during panic usually thank themselves later.”
Worst call
-0.5%“When #Bitcoin hits $1M you won't care if you bought it at $94k or $120k — you'll be glad you bought it period.”
“Needs to go now, key pivot here, get above former 4h high and we squeeze imo #btc https://t.co/YTSCkkSHLA”
Worst call
-0.9%“#btc One hell of a monthly close. Target is $100k+ https://t.co/KlG23P1EpO”
Best call
+3.9%“The markets are waking up massively and it's just a first start. #Bitcoin has moved first. $ETH started to show a lot of strength, and $SOL is passing up with that. More #Altcoins will start to follow through as confidence comes in and liquidity rotates from Bitcoin towards assets that deserve attention. Don't be surprised if we'll see breakouts of 20-30% on a single day on altcoins.”
Worst call
-1.5%“If Saylor is looking to buy: the rumors and the fear starts to fade away. If Saylor was actually selling assets: the impact of his position will decrease from here on. I don't think the latter is true, and I do expect the peg of $STRC to be going back to neutral in the coming weeks. When that's the case, markets are going back up and we'll see $BTC trade at $70K or potentially even higher, ending this capitulation crash and looking to kickstart a new bull cycle.”
“@kernow_bull i mean its a weekly chart so break 82 doesnt mean 150k the day after but such high-timeframe breaks often result in significant, long-lasting trends much like when btc broke above 25k in 2023 or above 10.5k in 2020”
Worst call
-1.6%“$BTC still feels very similar to the summer of 2022. Sideways over the summer, a final wipeout to kill the mood completely, and then a resurgence. Wouldn't surprise me to see this bear play out similarly. More muted, but similar nonetheless. Perfect DCA conditions 👀 https://t.co/WXmot3VQUE”
“Love how there’s suddenly a very loud, coordinated solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 push on a weekend while the weekly chart is sitting below basically every important moving average, making lower highs, has no capitulation volume, and is being sold as a reclaim from under resistance. You can find easier trades right now. Wake me up when it reclaims the 90s, then the 200W. Until then this looks less like accumulation and more like marketing over a broken weekly chart that probably needs months of sideways heat death before anyone gets to call it healthy.”
Worst call
-1.3%“Bitcoin short exposure from the last few day’s playing out nicely so far. Also, I said I think the risk is that people will be slow to respond to weakness here, because they sincerely thought this was the start of some major push to the highs instead of a longer process. https://t.co/PPmNbeEA5n”
“$ETH - Update Looking for another leg down to clean those lows. Will wait for my scalp long upon holding. https://t.co/FdOPMiAmD9”
Worst call
-2.2%“$ETH / $USD - Update Since this morning the short played out well and we shed profits as we dropped. Hold below $1586 and we good to continue down https://t.co/RM3tYdH4nc”
Best call
+0.5%“@imperial_btc We probably tested the 50-week MA. I'm travelling, so I can't check right now, but I think it's around $77K. A similar test to the one in 2023. Very bullish.”
Worst call
-1.1%“@imperial_btc In my opinion this is probably a new cycle. BTC dropped below the 200w MA, and every time it did that it meant a reset and a new cycle. In that situation it’s hard to imagine BTC growing only those 30% from 126k.”
“📉 $ETH is testing channel resistance at $1,960 setting up a clean short opportunity🐻 https://t.co/6da7sFnwJ6”
Worst call
-1.1%“@CryptoMichNL market volatility insight 📉”
“$BTC #Bitcoin is Breaking out of a Bullish Rectangle after 30 days of consolidation..📈 imo, 88k Incoming soon..🔜 https://t.co/Mjw2wYfaMd”
Worst call
-2.1%“$BTC #Bitcoin Send it Higher..🪂 https://t.co/baFziWolN0”
“L O L The SEC and the CFTC are not playing around when it comes to crypto market structure Bitcoin Pumping ZEC Pumping We are going so much HIGHER! Trade with my link https://t.co/rjYBb3Ws12 https://t.co/Y5nBLB2Mx3 https://t.co/DTOo2nJbpY”
Worst call
-1.0%“Uptober is real $BTC is primed Long your longs https://t.co/Ztewu3JFNI”
“I checked the market yesterday and talked what's next. Here's the recap. 1. $30,000 target was wrong and admitted publicly: The evidence changed with weekly close above the 200-day MA, 40% move on a $1.5T+ asset, breadth 3x so the bias changed. Arguing with the market costs you money. Adapting to it makes you money. 2. 2027 is a pre-election year - best of 4 year cycle. Bitcoin's average annual return over 16 years is 128%. Pre-election years have averaged 216%. That's the structural tailwind going into next year. 3. The current dip to $77K is consolidation. RSI reset, momentum normal, SMA200 holding at $70K - my ideal buy. But I'll scale in more at $71-72K. Big boys bid above the level everyone is watching. 4. Cutting winners early was my biggest mistake. Not the losses, the exits. The profit factor was 1.73 but could have been significantly higher. Closing early feels safe. Over time it quietly destroys returns more than bad entries ever will. P.S. CPI coming up in a moment. Expect volatility. Full session: https://t.co/GeiAdTjnHu”
Worst call
-1.8%“13% of crypto coins were above their 200-day MA a week ago. Today it's 32%. That's the number that separates a Bitcoin rally from a real bull market. Here's more from last night's webinar. 1. The 2023 bottom fingerprint just fired again. Persistent price travel above key MAs. Volume spikes. Time above the 200-day. Improving breadth. Same methodology, different cycle. 2. Bias changed because evidence changed. Last week the target was $30K. This week I'm fully bullish. Adjusting to the market is the job. Arguing with it burns accounts. 3. The 200-day MA direction is the only line that matters. Falling = bear. Curling up = bull. It just curled up for the first time in over a year. 4. Expect chop before the real move. Consolidation, resistance, pullbacks to $70K are normal in early weeks. Being bullish means buying the dips. Watch full session below. https://t.co/SJU4XEUJcB”
“$ETH has now cleared the untapped highs and is approaching our key resistance zone between $2800-$3000. This supply zone is the most logical place to expect a rejection and potentially deeper pullback to target the equal lows below us. If we manage to clear this zone then we will probably leave those equal lows behind.”
Worst call
-1.6%“Not sure if we will get that relief rally first as the local range lows (blue) are taking quite a beating atm without much of a positive reaction. Sweep of the $1500 lows might be coming sooner rather than later and this might end up forming a clean little PO3. ethereum:native”
Best call
+4.8%“$BTC #Bitcoin Classic bullish manipulation (EMA21 test) before a major move 📉 🩸 Don't forget that we're still in a bear market 😉 https://t.co/81qI6jQecj”
Worst call
-1.3%“@cryptomlady too early to go long imo. Eth should go lower”
“$BTC limit orders filled. Target $91k. https://t.co/3XtmWPYEoJ https://t.co/jjIt6V8KwC”
Best call
+1.1%“Yesterday Google dropped 10%+ after hours, today it is Intel. Remember in Q4 of midterm years, it is usually a correction in equities that drags Bitcoin back down https://t.co/LYU0yZlx4M”
Worst call
-0.8%“@JohnTown91 Because btc will likely continue bleeding against Spx, Qqq, gold, energy, and manufacturing”
“🚨 $ETH LOOKS BEARISH 🚨 Failed to break above resistance. Protect your capital... https://t.co/Q5B4v4LXvd”
Worst call
-1.3%“$SOL is currently showing weakness - it’s struggling to break above the 50 EMA. If this continues, the entire SOL ecosystem could take a hit, including meme coins. 👀 https://t.co/ICVTdP7m4F”
Best call
+1.1%“$ETH Ethereum has finally broken down from the multi-year uptrend line The multi-year technical uptrend is over Price has revisited the orange area for the first time since early 2025 If price Monthly Closes beneath orange and turns it into new resistance, there's a good chance #ETH could drop to ~$1000 (black) At orange support for the moment but it's likely a weakening demand area #Crypto #Ethereum”
Worst call
-4.0%“#BTC Bitcoin will need to rally a lot more that what it has produced thus far if price is to invalidate the "weakening support" idea At the moment, technicals are pointing to $60k as a weakening macro support $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/jYqcE6WzUg https://t.co/Wyu52KkNzA”
“@MindfulArrow agree im also surprised but that said it makes sense to me this is happening because they have to frustrate everyone and make them capitulate first price capitulation then time capitulation will be while until we resume up only imo”
Worst call
-1.5%“@tomma_sol @deg_ape sol will only go down in terms of btc you should just accept that”
“ethereum:native All you need is a 3 tap, thanks for playing Short term range for a msb and move into demand for a long- simple does it https://t.co/JlFZiAB9xY”
Worst call
-0.7%“Time to do this again Buying 1000$ worth of $ETH daily Forming a range and at the bottom of the range 2.8-3k short term target Daily updates on my TG https://t.co/UmfNl71vBq https://t.co/3sIP7dBqea”
Best call
“$BTC Trading previous months value area... 71K - 79K range 79s strong resistance confluent with both Monthly and 2 week prev comp high 2 Week Prev comp low at 76 - confluent with the 25 weekly ema's Context shifting, heavy sell flows last several days... Break of 76s and thats a full context shift opening the path way to low 70s - with any meaningful short covering rallies with no continuation of buyers likely to be faded... Liquidations likely kick in if pressure under todays lows...”
Worst call
-1.2%“$BTC I'll be impressed if this works its way down to 57.5 today https://t.co/ByZ4oWZS7a”
“@undoitrei12 @omzcharts Flat a best (this would be the bullish case) likely tags 48k this month”
Worst call
-1.8%“$BTC 4H falling 3 methods here as price pushes range lows, muted bull response https://t.co/BAn0CWinzq”
Best call
+1.0%“last cycle I publicly bought the solana bottom at ~$15, it was one of the highest pnl trades of my career I think we have another chance to do it again here I'm heavily accumulating spot in the blue zone https://t.co/jd8JNHFpu7”
Worst call
-1.0%“ETH, Solana, BTC all look excellent. The bottom is indeed in. https://t.co/hTaK0218ye”
“$ETH looks ready for the next leg up Send it to $3K+ with haste https://t.co/TtA5CH078n”
Worst call
-1.7%“If you're in NVDA, you still have time to rotate back into BTC and ETH https://t.co/hboEXbIa1q”
“CPI print was good today. I think it's reasonable to assume that we move towards the EQ and eventually even the range high. $BTC https://t.co/kk7yLASgKW”
Worst call
-1.0%“More and more long liqs coming in. You guys are gonna have to stop trying to catch this knife with high leverage if you actually want $BTC to bottom out. I'm looking at $65k for a strong bounce (hopefully). https://t.co/AcPgeVtxCh”
“reminder that you don't need to buy the bottom as long as you buy when momentum starts, alerts set on $80 breakout https://t.co/ACZ5VVy2AW”
Worst call
-3.6%“you are not too late, but probably not bullish enough, not even close https://t.co/eL8Lrqf8NH”
Best call
“I think we are very close to seeing a significant bounce across the crypto market very soon https://t.co/SJK4ExrNw7”
Worst call
-1.7%“Study POPCAT PEPE PNUT DOGE on their first major corrections before ripping to billions. They all suffered 80-90% corrections before going parabolic That’s solana:BCdwQBAn8dYB5YjTsoB6TdHAWokxv28k2oZUodERpump right now Getting the same vibes https://t.co/NoHoh8C0ep”
“@LayahHeilpern Delusional bulls!”
Worst call
-1.4%“Yes I made $100M on HyperLiquid Use this link to save on trading fees or code: WYNN https://t.co/KN0iJSvKpH IM ALSO MASSIVELY SHORT RIGHT NOW ON $SPX since 7,500 AND SHORT ON $BTC SINCE 126K 🫡🫡”
“$ETH looks even stronger than $BTC. It had been building up toward a breakout at 2k and accumulated enough momentum to surge all the way to the HVN around 2300. D1 TF And if we push a little harder, we’re not far from a breakout on W1 TF On a more local scale, Ether has reached resistance from above, and it would be desirable to see a pullback to the 2,100–2,150 zone now, to test the breakout volume. H4 TF”
Worst call
-1.7%“@Lenny51456285 I don't have a position yet; I'm not sure, but I've become a bit more bearish on Bitcoin than before. For now, trading $hype is too risky for me.”
Best call
+0.4%“The ETF engine has barely run this year. YTD net flows are near zero, yet BTC is down just 7%. With little ETF demand and prices holding up, heavy selling by OG whales or miners seems unlikely. Those who wanted to sell have likely already sold. I expect bullish momentum to return once midterm uncertainty fades and ETF inflows resume.”
Worst call
-0.6%“Coinbase Premium hit a 4-year low. The last time it was this low was in Nov 2022, right after the FTX collapse, when BTC bottomed. Market sentiment is bearish enough to be bullish, imo. https://t.co/jab4bk1GIX”
“#Bitcoin Looking like a failed bounce and likely to sweep low $76k maybe even into $75's https://t.co/IAlTposo2n”
Worst call
-1.5%“#Bitcoin May monthly candle close really screwed us over... Nasty stuff. New low. https://t.co/VDG3485Pzg https://t.co/4BrLuZzkmD”
“I started with the long trigger cause I already mapped them out last week - it doesn't mean I think it's more likely. Market bias is bearish so, in principle, downside continuation should put more pressure this week. For shorts, with BTC.D rising, I'd focus on altcoins and ETH. https://t.co/3tzi21BIuA”
Worst call
-0.9%“There are liquidations on both sides. Although there are more to the downside, the current upside momentum could easily trigger the short liquidations at $83.2k first. Probably short liquidations first, and then we'll analyse if long liquidations could be the next target. https://t.co/ptRQaAQdxK”
“Bitcoin pushed into $63,700 and got rejected almost immediately. I’m still struggling to find a reason why this market should suddenly turn around here. Last week was one of the worst weeks since FTX. This week isn’t looking much better. The $57,700 region still stands out as a likely target, and below that there are CME gaps sitting around $52,000 and $48,000. For now, the pressure still looks lower, not higher. 👀”
Worst call
-2.1%“The “perfect” jobs report is probably a little weaker than expected, but not weak enough to scare the market. A soft landing is exactly what risk assets want right now. If we get that today, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bitcoin benefit from falling yields and a weaker dollar.”
“More upside for $BTC is capped for today imo. https://t.co/nCdwTFwOXP”
Worst call
-4.7%“Sentiment is so negative Time to buy some $ETH”
“@CryptoTony__ all we need is to tap that cluster and then sol gonna be magical”
Worst call
-3.7%“🚀 Zero to Hero — Trade #1 First trade of the series: Going long ethereum:0xcf5104d094e3864cfcbda43b82e1cefd26a016eb Entry: CMP 0.065 Risk: 1% SL: Daily close below 0.05 Let's see where this journey takes us 👀 Want to join the challenge? Use code GAIJIN for 20% off or join here: https://t.co/iwAWE3fOzY”
“Bitcoin: Viewing 54k if we lose this current level...not really sure honestly. https://t.co/EC6yphIHK2”
Worst call
-2.6%“$ETH just looks primed for the next leg up eventually imo https://t.co/APsf3r6t8h”
Best call
+1.9%“$ETH - Move the squiggles to the left a bit and it's looking pretty spot on. Fakeout above, fakeout below, run it back. Same playbook as last time. https://t.co/uHC4JE4Hft https://t.co/i2ZkZTaA7z”
Worst call
-1.4%“Bitcoin squiggles tried their best. Kind of sad to see it play out this way when the stock market has been running hot. Was not a good sign to see support break. https://t.co/MIs4i7WDZk https://t.co/qJIrwXquAC”
Best call
+1.4%“This is one of the scenarios I have in mind: Bitcoin drops to 30K. Then rallies back toward 59K. That's where everyone starts talking about the bottom being in. That's where the bull market narratives come back. That's where people get trapped again. Then comes the final leg lower. Below 15K. As for timing? I honestly have no idea. And I don't care. The market will get there when it gets there. My job is to identify the levels and act when they arrive.”
Worst call
-2.8%“For those asking, my roadmap hasn't changed: BTC → 30K first, 12K–15K later. ETH → $900–$1,000 first, $300–$400 later. The first levels are for trading the dead cat bounce. The second levels are where I'm interested in building long-term positions. Patience is the edge.”
Best call
+0.9%“Here's that level on bitcoin:native that we REALLY want to see hold. Former highs covering essentially the whole of 2026. This is about as clear as it gets for bulls. https://t.co/YIJRyBbBMz”
Worst call
-0.9%“This is a very strong consolidation and squeezing of the bands on $SOL. It means impulse is coming, very much hoping that's to the upside taking us to $85+. https://t.co/YyVnDT7Cbc”
Best call
+1.1%“Possibility of a reverse h&s in the shorter-term now looking invalidated with the break through resistance. A similar move would see #btc back to 6 figures. https://t.co/rAflPPwsJo”
Worst call
-1.5%“The power of the log scale. #btc is currently worth 14 oz of gold. What if I told you it would one day be worth 1000 ounces... and that it is already 3/4s of the way there.... https://t.co/OhwDny0RGI”
“Starting to move here on $ETH 🤝 https://t.co/13ea27OT46 https://t.co/FHu8uzg0ye”
Worst call
-8.4%“Selling everything when $SOL hits $1,096. No further questions. 🤝 https://t.co/MbEBnGRM2U”
Best call
+0.6%“bitcoin:native update: Looks like $58.5k hit today, 58k looking very likely too. $58k zone needs to hold, or the next leg lower begins. Pretty sure $58k at a minimum hits today to at least sweep liquidity. https://t.co/BjECJYiZnE”
Worst call
-1.5%“Changed my mind too, I think this wicks to 38-42k.”
Best call
+0.6%“#BITCOIN | WEEKLY | 50ma band The crowd always finds ways to overcomplicate and confuse themselves. The position we are in is the same as early 2023. 50ema > 50sma = Accumulation 50ema > 50sma = Bottom is already in https://t.co/uHE6QJ8PwO”
Worst call
-0.8%“The bear market is officially over. 𓄀 ▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▱▱▱▱ bull market loading #Bitcoin 🟠 ꜛ #Ethereum 🔹ꜛ #Altcoins ⛁ ꜛ Welcome back. https://t.co/w9UjUyJt2J”
Best call
+0.5%“For what it is worth. I am not a "permabull" on Bitcoin, I have conviction. That conviction has been tested repeatedly over the last number of years. Has my thesis changed? No. And that is why I remain confident and patient while taking advantage of deep drawdowns caused by overwhelmingly negative public sentiment.”
Worst call
-1.5%“@NBA_ComputerMan Money tends to rotate from asset class to asset class, according to opportunity and economic cycles, and I believe it will rotate back into bitcoin again soon.”
Best call
+0.7%“$DXY The dollar finally back above 100 reclaiming a major range level after taking out last year's low. DXY setting up for a run IMO, could put some negative pressure on $BTC and equities. https://t.co/ka06SrlfLs https://t.co/IjlPh2ope2”
Worst call
-1.9%“@Crypto_Chase bullish - long hype bearish - short eth”
Best call
+0.5%“@brotherdruman @LorenHodl @ocean_mining For starters I own the same amount as Luke who managed to get all his Bitcoin hakced. If he can comment with 0 Bitcoin hodl why can't I 🤣. Second, why would I hold Bitcoin in a bear market & with an active attack which if successful will send Bitcoin sub 10k in my view!”
Worst call
-0.8%“@HodlMitch NO! Why would I buy back in? We are still at 12 month lows and there is an attack on Bitcoin from Bip110 which will send Bitcoin to under 10k if it succeeds 🤷, even if there is a 1% chance of the attack destroying Bitcoin give me a reason I should hold the asset with SPX at ATH”
Best call
+0.1%“Agree with @HHorsley here Fundamentals are pulling away because investors got burned on the Oct 10 massive deleveraging It’s just a matter of time $ETH $BTC https://t.co/eSD5mhKsdW”
Worst call
-1.4%“This major decline in Korean equities likely spilling over into crypto - margin liquidations in brokerage - Koreans major holders of crypto Short term pain $ETH https://t.co/Pe6bWrCBun”
“Bitcoin price is in free fall about to go sub $63k”
Worst call
-8.7%“"this rally will fail like all the others" $BTC $ETH”
Best call
+1.5%“horrid btc daily close, youd need to be smoking some serious crack to think this isnt sweeping 58k https://t.co/qfaxYslXOT”
Worst call
-5.6%“it was in fact the time to buy $sol https://t.co/NPWS3vErlH”
“In other words, buy the whole bottom, and stop worrying about trying to time the pico bottom. The majority buy when it feels safe to do so, which is during the euphoric bubbles. The smart minority buy when nobody cares, during apathetic drawn down markets. https://t.co/kOnVmZkaLO”
Worst call
-0.2%“Pro tip: CAGR is considerably higher than 30% when you buy Bitcoin when it is this cheap. The higher you buy, the worse your performance is. Buy the whole bottom.”
“ETH looks like its going to grind everyone to bits, then pump right to $3K+”
Worst call
-0.3%“@izebel_eth hype probably appreciates against sol but sol a lil too cheap here as well still dominates memes / onchain trading, now TCGs, moving into perps etc etc eth? might be going to literal 0 floundering for years, at least sol leadership is active even if irritating”
“Ok, starting to mobilize funds to buy the panic soon. https://t.co/nAEI2VGlud”
Worst call
-0.6%“OK BITCOIN FALL NOW: I’ll CATCH YOU! 🧡 https://t.co/9hxnYD9wO5”
“Crypto has come back from worse than this. There's a high chance buys anywhere sub $60k BTC and $1,800 ETH will go down in legend.”
“BTC is an community based energy asset that historically accelerates out of bear markets when vol has compressed and it is ignored. This is measured best in sigma moves. The pattern of the last two major shifts coming out of 2018 and 2022 (I hate to say four year cycle but yes) the pattern was seen by a large weekly sigma move where BTC crossed the 200 day moving average the week of the sigma move. So far this week is exactly the same pattern. More in this week's video.”
“Bitcoin has gone parabolic 4/4 times when the business cycle crosses above zero line. 2009 - 2012 - 2016 - 2026 5th cross has triggered. https://t.co/SBXPbwFWro”
Worst call
-1.3%“Downside target for $ETH short is finally almost here. Time to begin prepping for the flip to 2x long. https://t.co/tWybrJlBtA”
“It makes intuitive sense to me that there would be a group of sophisticated, deep-pocketed BTC bulls that are currently trying to figure out how to collapse the MSTR cap structure by any means necessary, so as to force a puke of the BTC currently held. Call it the “Soros-ification” of MSTR. There’s a narrow path to successfully execute this, but there are two massive reasons to go for it: 1- if you’re a big BTC bull, you likely know that Saylor in his current position of influence has significantly impaired the value proposition of BTC. So in order for BTC to head a lot higher (new ATH and beyond), the Saylor risk needs to get cleaned up entirely or greatly diminished. And the most likely way that occurs is to get MSTR holding way less BTC (or none). 2- if you pull off the Soros-ification of MSTR (make money on the short) and then flip long on BTC into the lows, the PL will be measured in billions and likely tens of billions.”
Worst call
-0.2%“It’s actually comically straightforward. Sell however many billions of $ of BTC necessary ASAP to take out all the converts and the prefs (yes Saylor can do things near-term that are damaging to these instruments so he can buy them back cheaper; that’s a separate topic). Do the sale in one huge chunk. There are DEF huge buyers of BTC down 20-30% (just guessing where it would get done). Flatten the entire cap structure. No debt no converts no prefs (makes total sense for a business that quite literally does nothing). Then Saylor goes on a media campaign swearing up and down to Satoshi that he is NEVER going to do ANYTHING again. Nothing. Ever. Won’t buy another dollar of BTC. Won’t sell another dollar. Never touch the cap structure again. MSTR will just hold however much BTC they have left after selling a lot to clean up the cap structure. This would pop BTC hard immediately (which is part of the reason you know the BTC sale deal would get done) . And over time, if Saylor does NOTHING, the market will eventually derisk him and his foolishness. And BTC can head much higher (still a big quantum problem and a paper Bitcoin problem but those are separate topics). This is the NO BRAINER right decision for Saylor to make. Right decision for MSTR (which I don’t care about at all) and right decision for BTC (which I care about a lot). I don’t think Saylor will do this though. And I honestly think the main reason he won’t do what is obviously needed is cocaine.”
“Debasement drives everything. Nothing stops it until AI and robots replace population growth. Nasdaq has beaten the debasement rate by roughly 12% a year... a great asset to own, because tomorrow is always more digital than today. Bitcoin has beaten it by 89% a year. That's why crypto is the super massive black hole of asset allocation. It becomes the most powerful asset we've ever had. The greatest performing asset of all time. This is the crux of my Everything Code framework... why debt forces central banks to debase, why markets endlessly go higher, and why only tech and crypto beat it.”
Worst call
-3.0%“Zcash is one hell of a chart... I'm still very long Sui, ETH and Sol too. Just kept adding all into the big sell offs and hold, comfy in spot and let the game play out over time. Patience in a secular trend almost always wins if you can manage your emotions. https://t.co/KxTnbfs1QH”
“been saying this on Twitter since 2018 but everyone disagreed ETH and SOL are only valuable insofar as they become "Future Money" / receive long-term HODL demand their initial monetary premium emerged due to them being "gambling chips" in their respective casinos (ICO + DeFi) and (Trenches) respectively, with a bunch remaining/sitting/lost/burnt/locked in people's wallets and various protocols to this day giving them some floor 99% of participants, however, even large ones, incorrectly reason about them as some sort of BTC-beta + Tech Platform hybrids The Tech is good but the Coins are mid... Both coins are about 10x overvalued and are being momentum-traded purely on vibes as BTC beta due to 'indexing' / 'diversification' habits acquired from TradFi stock instincts... no one wants to admit this obvious truth... They will still go up with the Tide during a Bull Market though, but no one wants to discuss these things from first principles. In order to be an ETH / SOL megabull, you need to clearly explain why they are a superior Future Neo-Gold than BTC (and Gold) strictly from a monetary perspective... if you can't, then there is no thesis... This is why competing on Tech is a fool's errand going into AGI... If you value Tech above all else then you are not going to have a good time in a World with 1 trillion agents (aka algorithmic immigrants) with 275 IQ... (assuming they don't kill us all) look into spx6900, a movement to flip the stock market. a giant wealth redistribution mechanism cosplaying as a post-ironic memecoin.”
“As 👁️ see it A recognizable bottom has NOT NOT NOT been completed in Bitcoin. A possible bear channel exists from the Feb low. Price is being repealed from the upper boundary. An ATR close below 79145 would indicate a retreat back to mid point, then maybe the lower boundary https://t.co/SckPijgVsN”
Worst call
-0.0%“As a classical chartist I see nothing right now to suggest a bull market is urgent https://t.co/ICgz4Uk9ZH”
“1. there's no "forever" 2. the four year cycle is hopium, even though it can drive self fulfilling flows 3. the btc underperformance trend vs AI related assets is very long, not noise 4. the eth underperformance trend vs almost everything is overwhelmingly evident 5. something going down when it should be going up it's signal (crashing solo is very different than crashing due to macro conditions) 6. I expect the AI trend to continue for a long time, and BTC to continue underperforming => there are much faster horses offering higher convexity than BTC 7. A handful of crypto assets can perform very well regardless.”
“The dovish signals keep firing. As mentioned above in the last roundup, the policy is clear as day on the following: - marginal macro policy is moving towards the Treasury - The government will ensure the AI buildout goes off without a hitch. Since new marginal buildout is being funded with debt, the long end must be kept in check through that. - The change to the word changes in QRA a couple weeks ago was a clear signal that Bessent is happy to outdo Yellen in supporting the long end - Because of this, I’m liking debasement trades again like gold and Bitcoin. Gold up 3% today. Think Bitcoin will do well too. The game is rigged, the vol controllers are alive and well. Don’t fight it :)”
Worst call
-0.7%“@Wyckoff3_0 @AidanGarrib I’ve been bull posting since low 60k bitcoin lol Views are unchanged Bullish and just holding my bags”
“Classic wedge breakout on solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112. Upside potential to $100. Cup and handle pattern also in there, bullish as well. https://t.co/8zQ4a6HUHF”
Worst call
-0.2%“After surging 27% in five days, bitcoin:native has run into some major resistance. An ascending trendline connecting the previous low pivots as support, now resistance. https://t.co/quuCOvXvSW”
“@HodlHudge @ZynxBTC I'm bearish on every crytpo aside from bitcoin and stablecoins. They'll fail, yes.”
“@FranklinBobMor1 No I just made a chunk and am reducing my net exposure. I will buy any dip but today seemed like a short term top in metals. Crypto IDK. Bitcoin looks like it could pick up another 3-5% before pulling back”
“Bitcoin Update If you saw the market update video, you should have caught a BTC or ZEC short. Next steps: 1. After two months of consolidation, price finally reclaimed the 2024 Summer Range Key S/R Zone ($71k–$76k), confirming the level with a clean retest before pushing higher. 2. However, this move up has come on declining volume with significant resistance overhead. As discussed in last week's market update, the key test was whether price could push toward $86k heading into the weekend. It couldn't and we've since rolled over. Price is now pulling back toward the lower S/R zone, which needs to hold. Losing it opens the door to a much deeper correction. 3. Two setups I'm watching: • If we fail to hold and lose lower timeframe structure, I'd be looking for continuation shorts on a retest of the $75k range low. • If we see a bounce and another push toward the highs, there's still a valid short setup around the $86k region, significant resistance remains overhead.”
“the win condition for btc is clear: >hedge against inflation because central banks will always print more money this is the narrative that propelled bitcoin from 7k to 126k if/when they eventually cut rates btc & gold should rip alongside equities however in a world where equities are trading at massive multiples due to inflation, the narratives of the productive underlying assets will be future focused in this case, the risks of quantum will be magnified and btc should not have to endure another cycle of flows where that is the ceiling concern the hedge against inflation needs to be a hedge against the future dangers of technology proof of work is poised perfectly to address this, as quantum & even the most advanced ai will not generate electricity the efforts to tackle this ambiguous future should start today & i believe if it did there would be renewed cult like excitement around btc and the entire asset class the writing is on the wall, the times are changing the sooner the better”
“@BitElite17 We are now in Autumn Equinox period which usually serves as a pivot point. BTC has gone from 58 to 87k… BTC may push a little higher but in my opinion it’s time for a sentiment reset”
“I believe $ZEC will soon eclipse 2% the market cap of Bitcoin, which will lead to a series of god candles to new highs beyond $2000 by the end of the year. Believe in something. Send it zigher. https://t.co/z6SiPSiASg https://t.co/Tm3nCD68Y0”
“$ETH with a new leg down rn. https://t.co/3lD2sVtHnf”
“Strategy has likely begun to sell Bitcoin this week (https://t.co/QJzYRnn67I). The game theory is vicious: Strategy selling but not selling enough to be safe means the whole market keeps hunting Saylor; there's blood in the water. Saylor refuses to take his medicine, instead crawling towards the inevitable. The market knows it, and will keep pushing him. The whole MSTR STRC BTC reflexive loop can now implode. MSTR holders, STRC holders, or BTC holders will get fucked, but we don't know which, or all. Meanwhile, every other DAT that parroted Strategy will face an existential moment - if Saylor is selling, how can you not? Your stock is already at a discount, and the elephant in the room is now doing the unthinkable.”
“This is getting scary. As a country we need to turn this around. Sec Bessent was correct in targeting 3-3-3. Unfortunately we aren’t even close to that. War doesn’t help. A Congress that never says “no” doesn’t help. At one point t the bond market will force fiscal discipline. Inflation across so many sectors over the past 10 years is directly correlated to this massive increase in debt. Incumbents on both sides will feel this in the mid terms. It’s the govts inability to deal with its spending addiction that keeps me bullish BTC even in a year where the energy in the crypto space is low.”
“@dotkrueger @LawrenceLepard Yes And unless they preemptively print, 1st first step whenever it bursts is EVERYTHING other than USD (& maybe gold...maybe) falls to levels so low most cannot comprehend...including BTC. IE - owning BTC today is a bet this Ponzi never busts or that they preemptively print.”
“Capital outflows from less stable countries around the world will light another fire under bitcoin and other digital assets. AI has launched a technology revolution, deservedly sucking a lot of oxygen out of the investment world, but it cannot serve as the insurance policy protecting wealth that many people in the world are seeking right now.”
“The equivalent of James Wynn adding more capital to lower his liquidation price which just delayed the inevitable. https://t.co/ACJvtuh275”
“Longing Bitcoin here @ $63.2k Bottom going into Clarity passage.”
“Listen babe. $BTC is going back to all-time highs. Guaranteed. https://t.co/5Hj5i6i0Or”
“@BitTintin @dotkrueger I have never advised anyone to sell. Luke is a professional trader and made a great trade that I respect. And yes, I think Bitcoin is going lower. Great buy opportunity.”
