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Published 7 Jun 2026, 12:01 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
Alejandro₿TC
@Alejandro_XBT
This is one of the scenarios I have in mind: Bitcoin drops to 30K. Then rallies back toward 59K. That's where everyone starts talking about the bottom being in. That's where the bull market narratives come back. That's where people get trapped again. Then comes the final leg lower. Below 15K. As for timing? I honestly have no idea. And I don't care. The market will get there when it gets there. My job is to identify the levels and act when they arrive.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63829.57 / 61870.71 − 1 = +3.2%d × r = -3.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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