Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,141 at 13 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,521 at 14 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 64521.45 / 62140.99 − 1 = +3.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology