Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $60,084 at 26 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $59,929 at 26 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 59929 / 60084.36 − 1 = -0.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology