Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Jun 2026, 04:34 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Mayne

@Tradermayne

Quoting · 18 Feb 2026, 04:06 UTC · context given to the AI

$DXY https://t.co/mjie7msgxF

$DXY The dollar finally back above 100 reclaiming a major range level after taking out last year's low. DXY setting up for a run IMO, could put some negative pressure on $BTC and equities. https://t.co/ka06SrlfLs https://t.co/IjlPh2ope2

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,542 at 23 Jun 2026, 05:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,662 at 24 Jun 2026, 05:00 UTC.
r = 62661.75 / 63541.99 − 1 = -1.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “DXY setting up for a run IMO, could put some negative pressure on $BTC and equities.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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