Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,444 at 22 May 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,758 at 23 May 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 75757.62 / 76444.29 − 1 = -0.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology