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Mainnet trading opens after on-chain activation and launch checks. Testnet uses test USDC on Base Sepolia; test tokens have no monetary value. Real-money rounds will carry their own terms and risks. Arena is not available to US persons. Questions: legal@rafa.ai

RAFA · Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

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Leaderboard / @Gaijin165 / 2085801892689625214:solana

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 Aug 2026, 18:54 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

Ga

Gaijin

@Gaijin165

@CryptoTony__ all we need is to tap that cluster and then sol gonna be magical

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $73.36 at 7 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76.07 at 8 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 76.07 / 73.36 − 1 = +3.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +3.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Solana (SOL)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@CryptoTony__ all we need is to tap that cluster and then sol gonna be magical”
Confidence: 89%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$73.36

Evaluation price

$76.07

Move

+3.7%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 15:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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