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@TedPillows · Unclaimed · Rank #9 (Top 21%) · 30 days · 30 days horizon How it’s ranked
Survived 2 crypto cycles. Turning Bitcoin and Ethereum, on-chain data and macro signals into actionable trades. Research: ↓
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
32
45 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
53.1%
17 correct / 15 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.5%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−1.5%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
3
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
189d
5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+15.6%“$ETH is still below its 100W EMA level. A weekly close below this zone could result in another correction. https://t.co/sN1QKsaJ6t”
Worst call
-13.9%“$ETH is being shorted too aggressively here. Damnn... https://t.co/ZdNXYMAdGo”
Every token @TedPillows has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 10 Nov 2026 · 208 calls since 5 May 2026
66 bullish · 142 bearish
Last called 10 Nov 2026 · 130 calls since 7 May 2026
59 bullish · 71 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 11 calls since 8 May 2026
5 bullish · 6 bearish
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
17 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026, 10:31 | “$ETH is still below its 100W EMA level. A weekly close below this zone could result in another correction. https://t.co/sN1QKsaJ6t” |
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30 days · 30d
| ETH |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $2,494 |
| 30d |
| $2,105 |
| -15.6% |
| correct |
| 8 Oct 2026, 09:11 | “$ETH is right at its 100W EMA. A weekly close below this zone could push Ethereum below $2,400. https://t.co/x7AO1FcJC3” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,566 | 30d | $2,243 | -12.6% | correct |
| 8 Oct 2026, 08:10 | “Let me share my thoughts on the market. $BTC has been ranging between roughly $82,500 and $87,500 for quite some time now. That’s basically a $5K box, and we've spent a lot of time moving back and forth inside it. What stood out to me was the repeated rejection around $86K–$87K. We tried several times to push higher and eventually make that move towards $90K, but every attempt failed. When you keep getting rejected from the same area, at some point you have to question how much buying power is actually left there. That’s why I told my X subscribers that, in my opinion, the higher-probability move was a rotation back towards the lower end of the range at $82,500. And that’s exactly what happened this morning. $82,500 was also TP1 of our accumulation strategy, so obviously it's always nice to see a level and target play out as expected. But I think there’s something more important happening here. My view is that we're still in a big liquidity-hunting phase. Price moves towards the highs, takes liquidity and liquidates shorts, then reverses and moves towards the lows, where longs get liquidated. Then it happens again. That’s one of the main reasons I think so many people are getting chopped up in this range. And honestly, this is exactly where I don't want to overtrade. A $5K range can look like there are endless opportunities, but if you keep chasing every move, using too much leverage or FOMOing into candles, the market can take your money on both sides before it eventually chooses a direction. For me, the plan is pretty simple now. I want to see how Bitcoin reacts around the range. If we break below $82,500 and get confirmation, I think the downside can accelerate. The range is roughly $5K wide, so a basic measured move would put us around $77,500. My broader target is still somewhere in the mid-$70Ks, which is also the view I shared publicly about a month ago. A lot of people didn't believe me back then. And that's completely fine. I'm not here to convince everyone that my scenario has to happen. It's simply how I currently see the market. It could be wrong. What matters to me is having a plan for both scenarios. For now, I don't want to FOMO into big candles and I don't want to force trades in the middle of the range. The month is still long. I'll keep some % as dry powder and would rather have capital available if we get lower prices than deploy everything just because the market starts moving. Patience is important in these conditions. Let the market come to you. Don't chase it.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $82,812 | 30d | $76,097 | -8.1% | correct |
| 7 Oct 2026, 14:36 | “$BTC dump 🎯 Still trading within the $82.5K–$87.5K range, but I expect lower levels in the coming weeks. My subscribers already know the key levels I’m watching for buys. https://t.co/A8eVgq8J5q” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $82,971 | 30d | $75,414 | -9.1% | correct |
| 6 Oct 2026, 09:21 | “$ETH has been slowly grinding up for weeks, leaving the lows untouched. At some point, these lows will be retested before the next big move. https://t.co/yixRbgVZde” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,710 | 30d | $2,418 | -10.8% | correct |
| 6 Oct 2026, 09:02 | “$BTC is hovering around the $86,000 level. Until Bitcoin breaks above $87,000, every upside rally will be capped. https://t.co/Uh2B84nHCs” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,971 | 30d | $80,375 | -6.5% | correct |
| 4 Oct 2026, 09:01 | “$BTC is back above the $85,000 level. There are large liquidation clusters around $87,000, which could be taken out next. After that, a correction seems more likely. https://t.co/tMRzOSyQKB” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,219 | 30d | $76,947 | -9.7% | correct |
| 3 Oct 2026, 09:11 | “$ETH got rejected from its resistance zone again. It seems like Ethereum consolidation will continue for longer. https://t.co/2BnJx9Kyb3” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,680 | 30d | $2,288 | -14.6% | correct |
| 30 Sept 2026, 16:20 | “This could be a possible scenario for Bitcoin. The fractal looks very similar to early 2023, when BTC had a sharp correction after confirming the cycle bottom. This time, we could see a drop into the high $70,000s before the next leg up. https://t.co/rl6OGFzGhx” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,310 | 30d | $77,202 | -8.4% | correct |
| 26 Sept 2026, 09:04 | “$BTC is holding above the $84,000 level for now. A weekly close above $82,800 is needed; otherwise, Bitcoin could drop to $79,000-$80,000. https://t.co/wAzd1HX6pX” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,013 | 30d | $80,422 | -4.3% | correct |
| 24 Sept 2026, 09:40 | “$BTC has dropped below the $84,000 level. Bitcoin needs to hold above the $83K zone here; otherwise, the correction could go deeper. https://t.co/bqA4KvTpti” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $83,245 | 30d | $80,516 | -3.3% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 09:22 | “$ETH is showing slight weakness here. IMO, a retest of the $2,500-$2,550 support zone could happen before any bounceback. https://t.co/m4PSZ9Z1x4” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,733 | 30d | $2,395 | -12.4% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 08:56 | “$BTC is above all its key levels, which confirms a cycle bottom. But that doesn't mean up-only. IMO, Bitcoin will have an 8%-10% correction from here to flush out late longs. https://t.co/6hcvO5ziQ0” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,902 | 30d | $81,644 | -5.0% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 08:26 | “$BTC short-term holders realized profit is now at its highest level since the October 2025 top. Not calling for a 50% crash, but there's a decent chance of correction in the coming weeks. https://t.co/fKsQxWiXlu” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,902 | 30d | $81,644 | -5.0% | correct |
| 21 Sept 2026, 10:14 | “I sold my last Bitcoin at $85,000. Why? There’s a lot of FOMO building on Twitter right now. We accumulated around $58K–$62K, so after capturing that move, I’m taking profits. That doesn’t mean I’m calling a local top. As described in my last post there is not a lot of sell pressure between this level and $88,000. It just means I’m managing the position based on the risk/reward in front of me. And for the newer members: Yes, I still expect a retrace toward the mid-$70Ks. That remains my base thesis for now. But I’m not going to force that thesis if the market starts telling us something different. My invalidation is clear. If Bitcoin starts closing multiple daily and weekly candles above $83K, I will consider the retracement thesis invalidated and reassess. Simple. I’m not emotionally attached to being right. I’m focused on responding to the data. So for now, there is no reason for me to chase the market because Twitter is getting euphoric. We already had our entries. We already captured a significant move. Now we wait. The market doesn’t move in a straight line, and neither should your decision-making. You want to have full insights in my buys and sells? Subscribe on X and get access to the live spreadsheet.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,414 | 30d | $83,291 | -1.3% | correct |
