Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,902 at 23 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $83,023 at 30 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 83023.15 / 85901.81 − 1 = -3.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology