Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,566 at 8 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,500 at 9 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 2500.3 / 2566.07 − 1 = -2.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology