Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,902 at 23 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,637 at 24 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 83636.54 / 85901.81 − 1 = -2.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology