Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Oct 2026, 10:31 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is still below its 100W EMA level. A weekly close below this zone could result in another correction. https://t.co/sN1QKsaJ6t

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,494 at 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,498 at 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 2498.16 / 2493.67 − 1 = +0.2%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time