Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,710 at 6 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,596 at 7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 2596.24 / 2709.76 − 1 = -4.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +4.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology