Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,971 at 7 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $81,869 at 14 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 81868.62 / 82970.88 − 1 = -1.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology