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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Oct 2026, 09:11 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH got rejected from its resistance zone again. It seems like Ethereum consolidation will continue for longer. https://t.co/2BnJx9Kyb3

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,680 at 3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,701 at 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2701.19 / 2680.04 − 1 = +0.8%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time