Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,219 at 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,961 at 5 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 85961.29 / 85219.41 − 1 = +0.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology