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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Sept 2026, 09:22 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is showing slight weakness here. IMO, a retest of the $2,500-$2,550 support zone could happen before any bounceback. https://t.co/m4PSZ9Z1x4

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,733 at 23 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,641 at 24 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2641.49 / 2733.15 − 1 = -3.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time