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@Alejandro_XBT · Unclaimed · Rank #59 (Top 67%) · All time · 7 days horizon How it’s ranked
Crypto since 2017 | Helping Investors Navigate Markets | All Posts NFA + DYOR
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
49
3 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
51.0%
25 correct / 24 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.2%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−1.6%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+14.9%“I'll say it again: Bitcoin is heading to the 30K–40K range. That's the real test. If it can't build a solid base there, then 12K comes into play. Many people laugh at 12K. They think it's impossible. I agree it's less likely, but it's still on my table. As for Ethereum? $1,000 if you're lucky. $400 if you're not. This year still has plenty of blood left. Hope you understand.”
Worst call
-22.6%“With a simple trendline and a clear resistance zone, you can see that Bitcoin has shifted into a macro downtrend. This didn't happen in previous cycles. You can also clearly see the price deviation in the purple box. Could Bitcoin have already bottomed? Sure. But I think it's highly unlikely, and I don't see the risk/reward in buying here. In my view, there's still a lot more downside ahead. We'll keep following the trend until the trend changes.”
Every token @Alejandro_XBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 45 calls since 11 May 2026
0 bullish · 45 bearish
Last called 9 Oct 2026 · 12 calls since 20 May 2026
0 bullish · 12 bearish
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
25 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026, 08:49 | “Hack or no hack, Bitcoin was going down anyway. Stop crying. The market doesn’t care about your feelings.” |
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All time · 7d
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $77,873 |
| 7d |
| $75,556 |
| -3.0% |
| correct |
| 11 Oct 2026, 09:39 | “$COIN and crypto, especially Bitcoin, are highly correlated. Interesting to see Coinbase forming such a bearish structure, with a potential downside target of $50 by 2027. If this plays out, it would add even more fuel to my thesis that crypto has much further to fall. The market might not be pricing in the downside risk yet.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $82,961 | 7d | $82,036 | -1.1% | correct |
| 9 Oct 2026, 19:50 | “$ETH is cooked. The sell-off to $1,500 is going to be EPIC.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,475 | 7d | $2,410 | -2.6% | correct |
| 6 Oct 2026, 16:31 | “No updates from me because Bitcoin is still in the process of topping. Tops don’t happen in one candle. This process usually takes time. Let the market do its thing. $58K is coming back in the short term. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,576 | 7d | $83,284 | -2.7% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 19:59 | “The path of maximum pain, in my view, is a weekly and monthly close back below $82K. That would mean re-entering the range. Deviation confirmed. Bull trap confirmed. From there, the obvious move would be toward the range lows, sweeping all the longs sitting below $60K. And once that liquidity is taken, I think the sell-off could accelerate very quickly toward $40K. That’s the real path of maximum pain. You may like it or not, but if you think “maximum pain” means price just keeps going up and everyone who has been underwater for more than a year suddenly gets rescued back into profit... I think you’re looking at it completely backwards. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,521 | 7d | $83,552 | -1.1% | correct |
| 21 Sept 2026, 12:44 | “Call me crazy, but I don’t believe this move. Back in 2018, Bitcoin had several 80% rallies too, and every single time people were calling the bottom… right before BTC eventually collapsed to $3K. My view hasn’t changed. I still don’t think the bear market is over, and if I’m right, this move should be close to running out of steam.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,300 | 7d | $83,560 | -2.0% | correct |
| 3 Sept 2026, 18:56 | “Grok doesn’t lie. A lot of people here think I’m just LARPing, but I called for altcoins to drop 90% while they were near their highs, and I called the Bitcoin cycle top back in August. I’m not interested in trading every bounce. I still don’t think the bear market is over. Maybe I’m wrong on the exact number or the exact level, but on the bigger picture, my view hasn’t changed: The bear market is not finished.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $81,268 | 7d | $77,219 | -5.0% | correct |
| 28 Aug 2026, 14:10 | “This range looks almost identical to the one we saw from March 2024 to late October. Back then, it was re-accumulation before a much bigger move. Now we’re seeing a very similar structure, but this time it comes after a clear downtrend. That makes redistribution the more likely scenario. Don’t let anyone fool you into buying the “this is the bottom” narrative. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $79,573 | 7d | $78,891 | -0.9% | correct |
| 27 Aug 2026, 08:27 | “This is how I see the $BTC cycle. The 2022 bottom was accumulation, followed by an uptrend with multiple re-accumulation phases. What changed at the top is the structure: distribution first, then lower highs and re-distribution. That’s the key difference. As long as this structure holds, I see rallies as opportunities to sell, not the start of a new bull market. My main target remains the $30K area.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $79,755 | 7d | $77,803 | -2.4% | correct |
| 25 Aug 2026, 13:22 | “Let me explain it in the simplest way possible. Bitcoin is still just trading inside a range, chopping people up in both directions. And because this range formed after a clear downtrend, the most likely scenario is redistribution before another leg lower. If this were a real cycle bottom, I’d expect a completely different structure and probably a much longer accumulation period. We’re back near the range highs now, so this move is either finished or very close to it. See you lower. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $78,633 | 7d | $78,044 | -0.7% | correct |
| 27 Jul 2026, 23:05 | “I'll say it again for those who still haven't read it or haven't understood it. Bitcoin is not at the bottom. This is not the bottom. We're still a long way from it. You'll understand why in a few months.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,693 | 7d | $63,467 | -0.4% | correct |
| 21 Jul 2026, 17:41 | “We may chop around inside this red box for a while. Short-term timing is almost impossible. But I don't think this bear market ends without Bitcoin at least testing $30K https://t.co/FZn2brMZny” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $66,170 | 7d | $63,619 | -3.9% | correct |
| 20 Jun 2026, 17:53 | “ethereum:native 99% → We hit $1,000 60% → We hit $600 35% → We hit $350 The only question is how slowly the market wants to deliver the pain. https://t.co/uAfCnlvP5I” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,725 | 7d | $1,589 | -7.9% | correct |
| 18 Jun 2026, 23:06 | “I'll keep repeating this until I'm bored of saying it: Bitcoin: 12K–16K. Ethereum: $300–$400. Not this month. Not next week. But I expect those levels to be tested before this is all over. That's where I believe the real bottom is. GG.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,709 | 7d | $1,565 | -8.4% | correct |
| 18 Jun 2026, 19:05 | “I'm going to tell you a secret. But don't tell anyone. When Bitcoin breaks 58K, we're going straight to 40K. Keep it between us.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $62,872 | 7d | $59,225 | -5.8% | correct |
