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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 Jun 2026, 19:05 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Alejandro₿TC

@Alejandro_XBT

I'm going to tell you a secret. But don't tell anyone. When Bitcoin breaks 58K, we're going straight to 40K. Keep it between us.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,872 at 18 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,969 at 19 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 62969.4 / 62872.01 − 1 = +0.2%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time