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Published 15 Aug 2026, 20:41 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
Alejandro₿TC
@Alejandro_XBT
With a simple trendline and a clear resistance zone, you can see that Bitcoin has shifted into a macro downtrend. This didn't happen in previous cycles. You can also clearly see the price deviation in the purple box. Could Bitcoin have already bottomed? Sure. But I think it's highly unlikely, and I don't see the risk/reward in buying here. In my view, there's still a lot more downside ahead. We'll keep following the trend until the trend changes.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63000.74 / 63036.51 − 1 = -0.1%d × r = +0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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