Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 Jun 2026, 23:06 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Alejandro₿TC

@Alejandro_XBT

I'll keep repeating this until I'm bored of saying it: Bitcoin: 12K–16K. Ethereum: $300–$400. Not this month. Not next week. But I expect those levels to be tested before this is all over. That's where I believe the real bottom is. GG.

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,709 at 19 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,709 at 20 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 1709.41 / 1709 − 1 = +0.0%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Ethereum: $300–$400.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction