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Published 23 Sept 2026, 19:59 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
Alejandro₿TC
@Alejandro_XBT
The path of maximum pain, in my view, is a weekly and monthly close back below $82K. That would mean re-entering the range. Deviation confirmed. Bull trap confirmed. From there, the obvious move would be toward the range lows, sweeping all the longs sitting below $60K. And once that liquidity is taken, I think the sell-off could accelerate very quickly toward $40K. That’s the real path of maximum pain. You may like it or not, but if you think “maximum pain” means price just keeps going up and everyone who has been underwater for more than a year suddenly gets rescued back into profit... I think you’re looking at it completely backwards. $BTCView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 84388 / 84520.66 − 1 = -0.2%d × r = +0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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