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@sminston_with · Unclaimed · Rank #12 (Top 16%) · 90 days · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
26
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
73.1%
19 correct / 7 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+7.6%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−1.6%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+23.5%“The power law of Bitcoin IN GOLD has taken quite a hit when you keep it honest by stopping training data in Aug 2020. Here's why I don't believe the same will happen in dollars, and rather price will continue to grow at roughly t^6. Bitcoin and the dollar both have monetary policies. One is a halving schedule, the other is a committee targeting a couple percent a year and mostly hitting it. Gold has neither. The t⁶ is a network property, addresses are doing roughly t³ x Metcalfe. The dollar is like a valve someone's hand is always on. Gold is more like the weather.”
Worst call
-8.5%“BTC price level looking great here at $84,830 The longer we hover above the support rainbow, the stronger the bull run case becomes, brick by brick, solidly in accumulation. Currently a 13.6% on the power law quantile framework. https://t.co/B33OsrVohx”
Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · Stated horizon
115 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sept 2026, 16:13 | “Remember the massive Bitcoin jump in August? Came at you fast, didn't it? That's how the next leg up will be, too. Don't take your eye off the ball 👁” |
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90 days · stated
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| $76,329 |
| 30d |
| $82,023 |
| +7.5% |
| correct |
| 14 Sept 2026, 16:50 | “You may not have seen Bitcoin vs. stocks compared this way. 🧐 The S&P may look like a sure bet on the surface. Bitcoin's volatility makes it hard to see beneath the surface for a lot of people - it's choppier water, but guess what... the capacity for returns is much higher if you can stomach the ride. Just take a look at the staggering range of historical 1-year returns for both: 🟠Bitcoin: -82% to +24,700% Median: +97% 🔵S&P500: -21% to 75% for S&P Median: +14% With a low time preference, the rewards are great if you go orange 🟠” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 13 Sept 2026, 15:28 | “Gm. Bitcoin to $1M by 2034” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 10 Sept 2026, 16:45 | “https://t.co/mctegRrrso” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 10 Sept 2026, 16:26 | “Dollar Index (DXY) 252d Z-score has been down-trending since June, and just broke negative 👀 Short/med-term risk-on returning Bullish for Bitcoin/Crypto https://t.co/N9HeueBGQi” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,160 | 30d | $82,940 | +7.5% | correct |
| 9 Sept 2026, 19:01 | “"How much Bitcoin should I own" almost always gets answered in 'number of coins.' The question people are often really asking is what a slice allocated to Bitcoin does to a normal portfolio. So I ran it. Each of the scenarios below has an ordinary 60/40 stocks/bonds portfolio. Then each is given a different % slice of BTC, since 2015. All rebalanced quarterly to hold each % target constant. Since 2015, $1 in each became: 0% Bitcoin: $2.79 1%: $3.07 5%: $4.43 10%: $6.76 - - - Look what each slice did relative to its own size. 1% of the portfolio produced 10% more money. 5% produced 59% more. And 10% produced 142% more - 2.4 TIMES the final outcome, with ninety percent of the holdings completely untouched 🤯 Every one of those scenarios punched at least ten times its own weight. That's the case for at LEAST a small allocation - the number doesn't have to be huge to move the needle a LOT. Get some orange in there 🧡 NFA” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Sept 2026, 22:23 | “@willywoo 220k sounds a little low, but I'll take your 600k https://t.co/MY5tiScDb1” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 6 Sept 2026, 20:58 | “Christmas came a little early! The Bitcoin Golden Cross is upon us ❎ Read my last post on this to understand what that could mean: https://t.co/uGB8E08aGL With variation (+/- 15-20%), could imply $89k in 3 months (67% bullish hit rate) and $113k in 6 months (75% bullish hit rate)” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Sept 2026, 21:38 | “https://t.co/LLG9ZjOH9A” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Sept 2026, 20:16 | “Bitcoin Golden ❎️ Cross Hitting in a matter of days 🚀 - - - Are your bags packed? https://t.co/2I69Ismhwi” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Sept 2026, 16:52 | “"Dacoinminster's Law" First ever recorded power law measurement of Bitcoin's price in time since Genesis. y = 4.419E-17*(X^5.598) BTC price today = $80.8k His forecast = $93.7k A forecast record of 13.55 years, or about 77% of Bitcoin's entire life. https://t.co/g3q2TdKgJZ” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Sept 2026, 11:56 | “@TheRealDHR @CorySwan 🎯” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Sept 2026, 20:10 | “INCREDIBLE. This first instance of the power law model of Bitcoin's price in time was shared in February of 2013. It predicted $93,725 for today, September 2, 2026. Right now the price is $77,450 - only 17% under Dacoinminister's prediction. As we move into the next bull run it will prove even more accurate. https://t.co/vgwdA9jklf” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,378 | 24h | $81,469 | +5.3% | correct |
| 1 Sept 2026, 04:23 | “@AshCrypto Extremely bullish for Bitcoin https://t.co/AZnRRxZqis” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,704 | 30d | $84,060 | +6.8% | correct |
| 30 Aug 2026, 00:40 | “@dangambardello 🔥” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
