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Published 6 Sept 2026, 20:58 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Sminston With 👁
@sminston_with
Quoting · 28 Aug 2026, 16:42 UTC · context given to the AI
BITCOIN:🪙GOLDEN❎CROSS🪙Incoming. 1. The exact roll-forward puts the golden cross on September 9, 12 days from now 2. In the near term (1-3 months), neither golden 🪙nor death ☠️crosses matter much for forward returns 3. At 6 months, the golden cross has real edge over the death and more strongly suggests upward trajectory 3b. Gold median of +40% forward ROI vs. Death median of -3% forward ROI 4. Median implied price AT the estimated golden cross date (Sept 9) is $80,282 5. 6-month (Mar 9) implied Bitcoin price target (IQR) IF we hit that upcoming golden cross: $94k - $149k 5b. Median implied price = $112,748 And: this isn't even when the bull run will be finished - not by a long shot, I believe. NFAChristmas came a little early! The Bitcoin Golden Cross is upon us ❎ Read my last post on this to understand what that could mean: https://t.co/uGB8E08aGL With variation (+/- 15-20%), could imply $89k in 3 months (67% bullish hit rate) and $113k in 6 months (75% bullish hit rate)View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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