Published 2 Aug 2026, 15:57 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Sminston With 👁
@sminston_with
The power law of Bitcoin IN GOLD has taken quite a hit when you keep it honest by stopping training data in Aug 2020. Here's why I don't believe the same will happen in dollars, and rather price will continue to grow at roughly t^6. Bitcoin and the dollar both have monetary policies. One is a halving schedule, the other is a committee targeting a couple percent a year and mostly hitting it. Gold has neither. The t⁶ is a network property, addresses are doing roughly t³ x Metcalfe. The dollar is like a valve someone's hand is always on. Gold is more like the weather.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63626.97 / 63041.43 − 1 = +0.9%d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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