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Published 1 Sept 2026, 04:23 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Sminston With 👁
@sminston_with
Quoting · 29 Aug 2026, 23:10 UTC · context given to the AI
Case study, here's what I did: took every trading day since 2010, sorted them by whether the S&P500 closed UP or DOWN, then ran one dollar through Bitcoin's returns on green S&P days only, one on red S&P days only, and one that just holds Bitcoin every day. RESULTS 🟢Green: $15,787,409 🔴Red: $0.06 💿Hold: $874,486 - - - Bitcoin used to go up on days the stock market went down - since 2018, it goes down with it. ⚡In reply to · 31 Aug 2026, 21:11 UTC · context given to the AI
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 S&P 500 just gave its highest monthly close ever in market history. Bullish for Crypto. https://t.co/Srr1HHufrL@AshCrypto Extremely bullish for Bitcoin https://t.co/AZnRRxZqisView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 77516.74 / 78704.49 − 1 = -1.5%d × r = -1.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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