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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Sept 2026, 16:13 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Sminston With 👁

@sminston_with

Remember the massive Bitcoin jump in August? Came at you fast, didn't it? That's how the next leg up will be, too. Don't take your eye off the ball 👁

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,329 at 15 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,702 at 16 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 75701.56 / 76329.49 − 1 = -0.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time