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@TedPillows · Unclaimed · Rank #9 (Top 21%) · 30 days · 30 days horizon How it’s ranked
Survived 2 crypto cycles. Turning Bitcoin and Ethereum, on-chain data and macro signals into actionable trades. Research: ↓
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
33
44 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
51.5%
17 correct / 16 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−1.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
189d
5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+15.6%“$ETH is still below its 100W EMA level. A weekly close below this zone could result in another correction. https://t.co/sN1QKsaJ6t”
Worst call
-13.9%“$ETH is being shorted too aggressively here. Damnn... https://t.co/ZdNXYMAdGo”
Every token @TedPillows has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 10 Nov 2026 · 208 calls since 5 May 2026
66 bullish · 142 bearish
Last called 10 Nov 2026 · 130 calls since 7 May 2026
59 bullish · 71 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 11 calls since 8 May 2026
5 bullish · 6 bearish
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
160 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026, 15:56 | “There's a 24% chance that Bitcoin will hit a new ATH by July 2027. And I think this could happen. Bitcoin cycle has started to accelerate, so new highs could happen sooner than expected. In the 2018-21 cycle, it took 24 months for BTC to hit a new ATH after the bottom. In the 2022-25 cycle, it took 16 months. Now that BTC has bottomed in July, a new ATH within 12 months is definitely possible. I’ve got a special deal for my community: trade with me and get a $25 bonus when you trade $50: https://t.co/lYoCz79Jb3” |
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30 days · 30d
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 13 Oct 2026, 14:37 | “Others/BTC has lost its 50D EMA for the first time in 5 weeks. It seems like more correction is coming in alts. https://t.co/t2lLeJ7u6q” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 13 Oct 2026, 10:08 | “$BTC has reached its major sell orders zone. On the downside, there are large buy orders around $80,000-$81,000. It seems like we are due for another correction followed by another V-shape recovery. https://t.co/T5BrOJzF2R” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 13 Oct 2026, 08:14 | “V-shape recovery in $BTC with strong spot demand. Looks good. https://t.co/QTPFkrU2YR” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Oct 2026, 14:10 | “$ETH looks strong. Next leg up to $3000+ is loading.” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 12 Oct 2026, 13:33 | “$BTC is being aggressively shorted here. Spot demand is weak, so these shorts are chilling so far. https://t.co/nWhE5yjaBX” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Oct 2026, 08:04 | “Another weekly close for $BTC above the 50W EMA, 50W MA, and May highs. Buyers are in full control. https://t.co/UTxmrFQn3m” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 11 Oct 2026, 17:11 | “Right now, it really comes down to inflation and energy prices. If the reports are correct that President Donald Trump said Russia and Ukraine have agreed to an “energy ceasefire” that could be a meaningful positive for markets. Any reduction in pressure on energy prices could help the inflation picture and, in turn, improve sentiment around risk assets. We used the recent weakness to add more BTC at $82,500 and $80,500, and ETH at $2,535. That leaves us nicely allocated, so there’s no need to chase the market from here. If you want to see the spreadsheet with my complete portfolio subscribe on X. For now, price action looks constructive and the market seems to want higher. I’m also seeing quite a bit of accumulation from larger wallets on-chain, which is another interesting piece of the puzzle. Still watching the macro and the data closely, but the setup is looking increasingly positive. Fingers crossed. 🤞” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $83,737 | 30d | $73,203 | -12.6% | incorrect |
| 10 Oct 2026, 10:31 | “$ETH is still below its 100W EMA level. A weekly close below this zone could result in another correction. https://t.co/sN1QKsaJ6t” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,494 | 30d | $2,105 | -15.6% | correct |
| 8 Oct 2026, 09:11 | “$ETH is right at its 100W EMA. A weekly close below this zone could push Ethereum below $2,400. https://t.co/x7AO1FcJC3” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,566 | 30d | $2,243 | -12.6% | correct |
| 8 Oct 2026, 08:10 | “Let me share my thoughts on the market. $BTC has been ranging between roughly $82,500 and $87,500 for quite some time now. That’s basically a $5K box, and we've spent a lot of time moving back and forth inside it. What stood out to me was the repeated rejection around $86K–$87K. We tried several times to push higher and eventually make that move towards $90K, but every attempt failed. When you keep getting rejected from the same area, at some point you have to question how much buying power is actually left there. That’s why I told my X subscribers that, in my opinion, the higher-probability move was a rotation back towards the lower end of the range at $82,500. And that’s exactly what happened this morning. $82,500 was also TP1 of our accumulation strategy, so obviously it's always nice to see a level and target play out as expected. But I think there’s something more important happening here. My view is that we're still in a big liquidity-hunting phase. Price moves towards the highs, takes liquidity and liquidates shorts, then reverses and moves towards the lows, where longs get liquidated. Then it happens again. That’s one of the main reasons I think so many people are getting chopped up in this range. And honestly, this is exactly where I don't want to overtrade. A $5K range can look like there are endless opportunities, but if you keep chasing every move, using too much leverage or FOMOing into candles, the market can take your money on both sides before it eventually chooses a direction. For me, the plan is pretty simple now. I want to see how Bitcoin reacts around the range. If we break below $82,500 and get confirmation, I think the downside can accelerate. The range is roughly $5K wide, so a basic measured move would put us around $77,500. My broader target is still somewhere in the mid-$70Ks, which is also the view I shared publicly about a month ago. A lot of people didn't believe me back then. And that's completely fine. I'm not here to convince everyone that my scenario has to happen. It's simply how I currently see the market. It could be wrong. What matters to me is having a plan for both scenarios. For now, I don't want to FOMO into big candles and I don't want to force trades in the middle of the range. The month is still long. I'll keep some % as dry powder and would rather have capital available if we get lower prices than deploy everything just because the market starts moving. Patience is important in these conditions. Let the market come to you. Don't chase it.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $82,812 | 30d | $76,097 | -8.1% | correct |
| 7 Oct 2026, 15:54 | “Large $BTC buy orders placed between $81,000-$82,500. This could be the bounceback zone for Bitcoin. https://t.co/tfnRJyTdsM” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $83,417 | 30d | $75,754 | -9.2% | incorrect |
| 7 Oct 2026, 14:36 | “$BTC dump 🎯 Still trading within the $82.5K–$87.5K range, but I expect lower levels in the coming weeks. My subscribers already know the key levels I’m watching for buys. https://t.co/A8eVgq8J5q” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $82,971 | 30d | $75,414 | -9.1% | correct |
| 7 Oct 2026, 09:31 | “$ETH is being shorted too aggressively here. Damnn... https://t.co/ZdNXYMAdGo” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | $2,596 | 30d | $2,236 | -13.9% | incorrect |
| 6 Oct 2026, 09:21 | “$ETH has been slowly grinding up for weeks, leaving the lows untouched. At some point, these lows will be retested before the next big move. https://t.co/yixRbgVZde” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,710 | 30d | $2,418 | -10.8% | correct |
