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@sminston_with · Unclaimed · Rank #33 (Top 37%) · All time · 1 hour horizon How it’s ranked
Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
38
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
47.4%
18 correct / 20 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.0%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.1%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+1.9%“Speaking of crazy Bitcoin signals... Copper/gold ratio has definitely made a positive turn - having just crossed its 1000-day SMA - and it would suggest a bull may be coming sooner than everyone expects a la 4-year magic. Be prepared. https://t.co/f3FPkX9VGD”
Worst call
-1.8%“Did you know you can measure Bitcoin the way you'd measure a factory? 🏭 It costs $50.4K in machines and electricity to produce one coin. It sells for $83.3K. So you're paying a 39% markup over production cost. Here's what matters. Across sixteen years, every time that markup was under 35%, Bitcoin was higher twelve months later. Every single time, no exceptions. Above 65% markup? Higher only 37% of the time. Today's 39% is at the cheap end of that range, and 70% of the last five years were pricier than right now. Might make sense to pick some up. NFA”
Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
155 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sept 2026, 16:13 | “Remember the massive Bitcoin jump in August? Came at you fast, didn't it? That's how the next leg up will be, too. Don't take your eye off the ball 👁” |
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All time · 1h
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| $76,228 |
| 1h |
| $76,212 |
| -0.0% |
| incorrect |
| 14 Sept 2026, 16:50 | “You may not have seen Bitcoin vs. stocks compared this way. 🧐 The S&P may look like a sure bet on the surface. Bitcoin's volatility makes it hard to see beneath the surface for a lot of people - it's choppier water, but guess what... the capacity for returns is much higher if you can stomach the ride. Just take a look at the staggering range of historical 1-year returns for both: 🟠Bitcoin: -82% to +24,700% Median: +97% 🔵S&P500: -21% to 75% for S&P Median: +14% With a low time preference, the rewards are great if you go orange 🟠” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 13 Sept 2026, 15:28 | “Gm. Bitcoin to $1M by 2034” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 10 Sept 2026, 16:45 | “https://t.co/mctegRrrso” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 10 Sept 2026, 16:26 | “Dollar Index (DXY) 252d Z-score has been down-trending since June, and just broke negative 👀 Short/med-term risk-on returning Bullish for Bitcoin/Crypto https://t.co/N9HeueBGQi” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $76,881 | 1h | $77,291 | +0.5% | correct |
| 9 Sept 2026, 19:01 | “"How much Bitcoin should I own" almost always gets answered in 'number of coins.' The question people are often really asking is what a slice allocated to Bitcoin does to a normal portfolio. So I ran it. Each of the scenarios below has an ordinary 60/40 stocks/bonds portfolio. Then each is given a different % slice of BTC, since 2015. All rebalanced quarterly to hold each % target constant. Since 2015, $1 in each became: 0% Bitcoin: $2.79 1%: $3.07 5%: $4.43 10%: $6.76 - - - Look what each slice did relative to its own size. 1% of the portfolio produced 10% more money. 5% produced 59% more. And 10% produced 142% more - 2.4 TIMES the final outcome, with ninety percent of the holdings completely untouched 🤯 Every one of those scenarios punched at least ten times its own weight. That's the case for at LEAST a small allocation - the number doesn't have to be huge to move the needle a LOT. Get some orange in there 🧡 NFA” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Sept 2026, 22:23 | “@willywoo 220k sounds a little low, but I'll take your 600k https://t.co/MY5tiScDb1” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 6 Sept 2026, 20:58 | “Christmas came a little early! The Bitcoin Golden Cross is upon us ❎ Read my last post on this to understand what that could mean: https://t.co/uGB8E08aGL With variation (+/- 15-20%), could imply $89k in 3 months (67% bullish hit rate) and $113k in 6 months (75% bullish hit rate)” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Sept 2026, 21:38 | “https://t.co/LLG9ZjOH9A” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Sept 2026, 20:16 | “Bitcoin Golden ❎️ Cross Hitting in a matter of days 🚀 - - - Are your bags packed? https://t.co/2I69Ismhwi” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Sept 2026, 16:52 | “"Dacoinminster's Law" First ever recorded power law measurement of Bitcoin's price in time since Genesis. y = 4.419E-17*(X^5.598) BTC price today = $80.8k His forecast = $93.7k A forecast record of 13.55 years, or about 77% of Bitcoin's entire life. https://t.co/g3q2TdKgJZ” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Sept 2026, 11:56 | “@TheRealDHR @CorySwan 🎯” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Sept 2026, 20:10 | “INCREDIBLE. This first instance of the power law model of Bitcoin's price in time was shared in February of 2013. It predicted $93,725 for today, September 2, 2026. Right now the price is $77,450 - only 17% under Dacoinminister's prediction. As we move into the next bull run it will prove even more accurate. https://t.co/vgwdA9jklf” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,335 | 1h | $77,299 | -0.0% | incorrect |
| 1 Sept 2026, 04:23 | “@AshCrypto Extremely bullish for Bitcoin https://t.co/AZnRRxZqis” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,779 | 1h | $78,787 | +0.0% | correct |
| 30 Aug 2026, 00:40 | “@dangambardello 🔥” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
