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@benjamincowen · Unclaimed · Rank #5 (Top 5%) · All time · 7 days horizon How it’s ranked
Founder & CEO, ITC | Macro, commodities & digital assets | Liquidity, labor & risk cycles | PhD Engineering | Former NASA, Sandia National Labs
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
13
2 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
69.2%
9 correct / 4 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+4.2%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−1.0%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
3
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+17.0%“@JohnTown91 Because btc will likely continue bleeding against Spx, Qqq, gold, energy, and manufacturing”
Worst call
-5.8%“@PrivacyForUsAll Well so far it is, but I do think btc will eventually go lower”
Every token @benjamincowen has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 15 calls since 28 May 2026
1 bullish · 14 bearish
Last called 21 May 2026
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
88 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2026, 21:03 | “"In fact, I would argue that the more likely scenario is that 2026 is a red year for BTC while the ISM goes up, exactly like how it played out more than a decade ago." The bull case for BTC is that if the economy is still doing well after the four year cycle low is put in, then BTC should have no problem starting its next bull market.” |
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All time · 7d
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 7d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 4 Jun 2026, 20:56 | “How is the pattern more prevalent for BTC? SPX has gone through four year cycles for decades before BTC was even created. No one is saying you have to sell anything. We are just saying to expect major lows to occur in BTC approximately every four years. You are saying believing in that is "anti-BTC" People who believe stocks bottom every 4 years are not "anti-stocks." Markets are allowed to go down sometimes. I hope you reconsider your view. Especially considering that you told people that my views were dead wrong coming into this year. BTC did not follow the ISM. It did not follow M2. It did not follow any of that stuff. How long until we can admit maybe the four year cycle has some validity? If it ever breaks, it would probably be for a bad reason, not a good reason. So I would say to root against the 4 year cycle would actually be more detrimental than rooting for it.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 4 Jun 2026, 20:05 | “@CorvusBTC I did not say BTC would go to $40k in Feb. I said we would likely form a low at $60k and bounce just like we formed a low at $6k in 2018. I know you guys like to make up narratives to justify being wrong, but have some humility.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 4 Jun 2026, 12:46 | “@mcof92 btc could certainly rally again before the final low, but i doubt it would be to a new high” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,698 | 7d | $62,939 | -1.2% | correct |
| 3 Jun 2026, 17:37 | “@Thinker_BTC Time to start DCAing BTC is typically after the June low. Not because that has to be the bottom, but because it likely will be "good enough" if you time horizon is more than a few months.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Jun 2026, 17:35 | “In a few months profits will temporarily flow out of TradFi (cool off phase after IPOs). People will want to know where to put their money because everything already went up so much. And there Bitcoin will be, ready to begin the next four year cycle.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Jun 2026, 19:51 | “Plausible path: Bitcoin forms a low in June (like it did in June 2018 and June 2022). BTC rallies in July SPX correction later in year which allows Bitcoin to finally bottom (most likely October) Four year cycle wins again” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Jun 2026, 12:39 | “Countertrend rallies are normal in bear markets. They always last long enough to truly convince the bulls that "this time is different." Bitcoin tends to be weak in midterm years, and no amount of mental gymnastics changes that.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $68,904 | 7d | $62,606 | -9.1% | correct |
| 2 Jun 2026, 02:39 | “There is the tag of $70k BTC https://t.co/ZMRX1ORPxZ https://t.co/CWcw2M5K9B” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 1 Jun 2026, 20:17 | “I don't remember saying BTC could not go below $60k In fact, in several interviews I have said that it could happen as we get closer to Q4. Q1% does not mean we cannot go below it, it just says we only spend 1% of our time below it. That is why I added the dislocation lines which you left off” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 1 Jun 2026, 14:02 | “Plenty of narratives to justify why Bitcoin is dropping right now, but it often drops into June of midterm years. I know the four year cycle view is mocked frequently, but it has been far more accurate than every other theory put out there. https://t.co/IamZAlBKb7” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 1 Jun 2026, 05:13 | “Trying to predict short-term price action is hard, as I generally consider the short-term moves akin to a random walk, or geometric brownian motion. ..but.. if i had to guess, I would guess that BTC tags $70k soon, then gets a small bounce. But after the bounce is over (likely a few days to a week or so), I do think BTC will head back to the lows from February 2026. If I'm wrong about BTC revisiting the lows from February, I will quote tweet this and simply say "I was wrong." And then I will let every bull dunk away.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $73,256 | 7d | $62,725 | -14.4% | correct |
| 30 May 2026, 10:20 | “The asymmetric fit on Bitcoin upper and lower tails back in 2020 does not include the 2021 data (obviously). It thus makes the upper tail too optimistic. By adding the 2021 data it aggressively pulls down the upper tail. https://t.co/MHwvbIDKsM” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 29 May 2026, 16:29 | “@JohnTown91 Because btc will likely continue bleeding against Spx, Qqq, gold, energy, and manufacturing” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $73,936 | 7d | $61,343 | -17.0% | correct |
| 29 May 2026, 14:53 | “While I think BTC bottoms in Q4 2026, the time to start accumulating BTC is often after the drop into the summer. I basically just ignore Bitcoin for the first half of midterm years, then look for deals in the second half. You do not have to time bottoms exactly to make money” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
